Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
490-510
Mark Price
516.34
Actual Price
518.85
Prediction Result
ZECUSDT is currently in a clear downward trend, with the price having significantly fallen from high levels. Technical indicators fully show bearish signals, the price at 516.34 is within the lower range of the Bollinger Bands, only about 17 points above the lower band at 499.6. Momentum indicators display obvious bearish characteristics: RSI12 is at 29.01, RSI14 is at 31.29, both in oversold territory but not yet at extreme levels; MACD lines are all negative, and the MACD histogram remains negative, indicating ongoing bearish momentum. Trend indicators confirm the downward pattern: the DMI indicator shows DI- at 26.05, significantly higher than DI+ at 13.96, and ADX at 21.85 indicates a relatively clear trend; the price has broken below key moving averages MA20 and MA50, forming a bearish alignment. Market structure analysis shows considerable capital outflow pressure: 24-hour amplitude at -23.6% indicates a sharp decline; the active buy-sell ratio of 0.84 is below 1, suggesting more active selling; the number of long versus short accounts ratio at 0.82 is bearish, reflecting retail investor sentiment leaning pessimistic. Support and resistance analysis: recent support level S1 is around 489, approximately 27 points below the current price; resistance at R3 is at 685, indicating limited rebound space. The current price is more likely to test the 489 support level downward. Overall assessment suggests ZECUSDT will continue to face downward pressure in the next 15 minutes, targeting a price range of 490-510. The trading strategy is mainly to observe, or consider light short positions if a rebound occurs within the 525-530 zone. Risk warning: Although RSI indicates oversold conditions, in a strong downtrend, oversold signals can persist for a long time. Investors should strictly control position sizes, set stop-loss points, and avoid blindly bottom-fishing. Stop-loss recommendations: for short positions, set the stop-loss above 530; if expecting a rebound, wait for clear RSI divergence or an effective break above the middle Bollinger Band at 534.54 before considering long positions.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Nov 11, 2025 07:12
Prediction ID
binance-zecusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd4122
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.