Deepredict
Binance XMRUSDT 1h Trend Prediction
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
670-705
Mark Price
705.89
Actual Price
713.92
Prediction Result
Analysis Basis:
- The current price is below the middle Bollinger Band (percent_b at 0.366625) and significantly above the long-term moving averages, indicating a need for correction.
- The MA5 and MA10 are considerably above the current price, exerting short-term downward pressure, and the price's proximity to the lower Bollinger Band suggests a potential retracement.
- The RSI6 is at 39.8077, markedly lower than RSI12 and RSI14, indicating weakening short-term momentum, showing oversold signs without clear signs of a strong rebound.
- The MACD value is negative (-3.5336), with a recent death cross on the short cycle, implying a high probability of continued correction.
- The KDJ J value is extremely low (0.1285), with K below D and well under 60, indicating bearish market sentiment and strong correction pressure.
- Although the active buy-sell ratio is slightly above 1 (1.1093), the number of bull and bear accounts and large account holdings are all well below 1, showing that the funds are leaning toward the bear side.
- The large account long-short position ratio at 0.8098 suggests that institutional and major traders have a clear bias towards short positions, increasing the risk of further declines.
Considering overall market volume, the candlestick chart over the past 20 periods shows a clear upward trend but has recently experienced a sharp pullback, with short-term volume surging accompanied by significant price fluctuations. This indicates that a large portion of profit-taking has occurred, leaving room for price correction. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, but the short-term MA values are significantly above the current price, suggesting the upward momentum is rapid, with overextended gains, and the market is approaching a short-term correction zone. The middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands form a strong support zone. The recent price trigger indicates a short-term pullback, with potential retracement towards the lower Bollinger Band region (around 665). Short-term technical indicators RSI and KDJ show significant weakening; MACD has formed a death cross and is in negative territory, implying the upward momentum is momentarily exhausted. Market funds are predominantly bearish, and it is advisable to adopt a short position strategy, expecting a downward correction in line with the trend. The active buy-sell ratio is slightly above 1, but the main force holding positions and the number of large account holders remain relatively bearish. This indicates limited bullish participation and a strong presence of profit-taking and sell-side pressure on the order book. Support levels reference S1: 466.87, which is well below the current price. The previous bullish profit-taking zone was sizable. The main correction ranges are between 700 and 670. If trading volume continues to increase, the correction trend will become more evident. Short-term trading strategies should focus on gradually shorting on rallies, with attention to risk management. If the price drops as expected to the 670-700 range, observe for signs of stabilization and rebound, and consider short positions only after confirmation of a trend reversal through signals from KDJ, MACD, and moving averages.
Technical Indicators Analysis
- RSI:rsi6(39.8077) rsi12(51.2351) rsi14(49.8133)
- MACD:dif(19.5811) dea(21.3479) macd(-3.5336)
- MA:ma5(754.09) ma10(754.09) ma20(721.32)
- Boll:up(778.11) mid(721.32) down(664.53)
Market Indicators
- Volume:955299.411 (24h)
- Volatility:2.48%
- Long/Short Ratio:0.4669
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Jan 14, 2026 22:38
Prediction ID
binance-xmrusdt-1h-forecast-2026-upd5511
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.