Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
8.43-8.60
Mark Price
8.85
Actual Price
8.92
Prediction Result
TRUMPUSDT is currently in a pronounced downward trend, with the price at 8.853 having broken below all major moving average supports, indicating a typical bearish alignment in technical analysis. From the Bollinger Bands perspective, the price is near the lower band at 8.78; with a bandwidth of only 0.109715, volatility is narrowing. However, the percent_b at 0.067795 suggests there is still downside room for the price. Momentum indicators are all bearish: RSI6 at 18.44 and RSI14 at 28.96 both indicate severe oversold conditions, but during strong declines, oversold levels can persist longer. The MACD at -0.165 signifies that bearish momentum remains robust. The KDJ indicator shows an oversold state, but a very low J value of 5.92 suggests that prices may continue searching for a bottom in the short term. Although the technical indicators are oversold, no clear divergence signals are observed. In terms of trading volume, the 24-hour trading volume of 340 million USDT indicates some activity; however, the amplitude change of -4.25% reflects an overall bearish sentiment for the day. The funding rate at -0.00021146, being negative, reinforces the dominance of bearish sentiment. Support and resistance analysis indicates key support levels at S1 (8.441) and S2 (8.43), which are important technical support zones. If the price breaks below 8.43, it may further decline toward S3 (8.426). Market sentiment shows that the large-held long-to-short ratio is 1.8598, slightly bullish, but the active buy-sell ratio at 0.7736 indicates strong selling pressure. The ratio of long to short accounts at 2.9952 suggests retail traders are relatively bullish, but this can serve as a contrarian indicator during weakening technicals. Overall, it is likely that TRUMPUSDT will continue declining in the short term toward the 8.43–8.60 range for support. Trading strategies should wait for rebounding from oversold conditions or observe for signs of a bottom near key support levels. Risk management should consider caution if the price falls below 8.43 to avoid further downside risk.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Aug 12, 2025 01:01
Prediction ID
binance-trumpusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd2493
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.