Binance TRUMPUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

From the 4-hour candlestick chart observation, the overall structure is evidently weak, with the price center of gravity continuously declining, showing weak rebounds and remaining consistently below the moving average system. The price oscillates near the lower Bollinger Band, which is narrowing, indicating a lack of strong bullish momentum to push prices higher in the short term. Although the MACD indicator shows minor signs of convergence, no effective golden cross has formed; the overall DIF and DEA remain in the negative zone, indicating a market dominated by bears. RSI across various periods is approaching or entering the oversold territory, suggesting limited downside in the short term, but bearish inertia may persist for one or two cycles before stabilizing. KDJ indicated short-term rebounds across its lines, but the J value is excessively high, risking a slight pullback, and the three lines have not yet turned upward, so further downward movement must be guarded against. The DMI reveals a classic bearish trend, with a high ADX indicating a significant increase in trend strength. Volatility is modest but the trend is very pronounced, making bottom-fishing for reversals unadvisable. Support and resistance levels to consider are S1 at 9.043 and S2 at 9.003 as critical supports; breaking below may lead to further testing of 8.90, and once downward momentum accumulates, it could be released instantly. Although the long-short positions ratio among large traders exceeds 1, the active buy-sell ratio is below 1, indicating capital is more cautious, with dominant market control resting with the bears rather than active longs. In summary, the short-term trend remains bearish. It is strongly advised to avoid blindly bottom-fishing and instead wait for price to thoroughly test the support in the 8.90-9.10 range. Without volume support, rebounds are prone to quick reversals, so risk of trap-door falls must be prevented. The market momentum has not deteriorated to an extreme, and if stabilization occurs, consider positioning for short-term rebounds; otherwise, focus on short-selling and awaiting further development. Risk tips: If the market experiences extreme positive news, timely profit-taking and stop-loss actions are necessary; strict risk management strategies should be enforced.