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Binance TRUMPUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Aug 01, 2025 03:05
1h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

8.70-8.85

Mark Price

8.92

Actual Price

8.88

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 8.916 has broken below the middle band of the Bollinger bands (9.14), nearing the lower band (8.78), and the percent_b is as low as 0.19, indicating short-term bearish pressure persists.
  • All moving averages are arranged in a bearish order (MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50 < MA200), demonstrating a stable downtrend.
  • RSI across various periods is in a clearly oversold zone (RSI6 at 24.2, RSI14 at 31.2), but there are no signs of stabilization, and short-term rebound momentum is weak.
  • The MACD indicator remains negative (dif at -0.1196, dea at -0.0949), with bars also negative, indicating that bearish momentum is dominant and the decline has not shown obvious convergence.
  • Although KDJ has rebounded to high levels on the J line, the K and D lines are at low levels and have not formed a golden cross, so the downward inertia persists.
  • The DMI indicates an absolute advantage for the bears (DMI- at 36.0471 vastly exceeds DMI+ at 8.5712), with an ADX reaching 50.28, indicating a strong unilateral bearish trend.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is slightly skewed to buy, but large holders’ long/short positions and account numbers both show dominance by short positions, implying continuous institutional and big holder bearish outlooks.
  • Amplitude is negative, and funding rates are negative, reflecting a strong bearish sentiment.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on the historical trend of 400 one-hour K-line candlesticks and volume distribution, currently TRUMPUSDT is in a clear downtrend channel, breaking through multiple important moving average supports, approaching the lower Bollinger band, and no strong support areas are evident. The Bollinger band width is moderately narrow; prices are slowly sliding near the lower band, indicating that short-term bearish momentum remains dominant. The percent_b indicator shows the price is close to the lower boundary, suggesting that the downward inertia has not bottomed out, and there are no effective signs of a rebound. The MACD maintains a death cross with no significant reduction in bearish bars, indicating that the downward momentum has not yet exhausted. Momentum indicators such as RSI and KDJ continue to show oversold conditions; although oversold, they have not turned upward, signifying high risk in bottom-fishing. The DMI combined with ADX shows a strong bearish dominance, with market sentiment influenced by persistent short positions. Large holders’ positions and account ratios are predominantly short, with active buying slightly exceeding selling but insufficient to reverse the structural imbalance. After the divergence of volume between the 21st and 23rd, the market has entered a predominantly downward trend. Currently, there is no effective support; attention should be paid to whether buy orders are absorbed at the lower Bollinger band and near the integer level of approximately 8.80. It is expected that within the next 1 hour, the price will test the 8.78-8.85 range; if this level is broken, further decline is anticipated. Trading suggestion: Strictly prohibit bottom-fishing; until the trend reverses, all rebounds should be regarded as weak corrections. Watch if funds step in around the 8.7-8.8 zone, and consider observing for short-term rebounds if stability is confirmed. If the 8.70 level is broken, subsequent space will open further. Risk warning: There is a risk of oversold rebound in very short cycles, but counter-trend trading is not recommended. Maintain a predominantly bearish outlook, with stop-loss moved up to above 9.00, and take profits gradually within the 8.70-8.80 range.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(24.2105) rsi12(25.641) rsi14(31.2336)
  • MACD:dif(-0.1196) dea(-0.0949) macd(-0.0494)
  • MA:ma5(8.9) ma10(8.9) ma20(9.14)
  • Boll:up(9.51) mid(9.14) down(8.78)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:30255471.20 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.67%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.0486
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 01, 2025 03:05

Prediction ID

binance-trumpusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd2002

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.