Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 85%
Target Price
8.70-8.85
Mark Price
8.92
Actual Price
8.88
Prediction Result
Based on the historical trend of 400 one-hour K-line candlesticks and volume distribution, currently TRUMPUSDT is in a clear downtrend channel, breaking through multiple important moving average supports, approaching the lower Bollinger band, and no strong support areas are evident. The Bollinger band width is moderately narrow; prices are slowly sliding near the lower band, indicating that short-term bearish momentum remains dominant. The percent_b indicator shows the price is close to the lower boundary, suggesting that the downward inertia has not bottomed out, and there are no effective signs of a rebound. The MACD maintains a death cross with no significant reduction in bearish bars, indicating that the downward momentum has not yet exhausted. Momentum indicators such as RSI and KDJ continue to show oversold conditions; although oversold, they have not turned upward, signifying high risk in bottom-fishing. The DMI combined with ADX shows a strong bearish dominance, with market sentiment influenced by persistent short positions. Large holders’ positions and account ratios are predominantly short, with active buying slightly exceeding selling but insufficient to reverse the structural imbalance. After the divergence of volume between the 21st and 23rd, the market has entered a predominantly downward trend. Currently, there is no effective support; attention should be paid to whether buy orders are absorbed at the lower Bollinger band and near the integer level of approximately 8.80. It is expected that within the next 1 hour, the price will test the 8.78-8.85 range; if this level is broken, further decline is anticipated. Trading suggestion: Strictly prohibit bottom-fishing; until the trend reverses, all rebounds should be regarded as weak corrections. Watch if funds step in around the 8.7-8.8 zone, and consider observing for short-term rebounds if stability is confirmed. If the 8.70 level is broken, subsequent space will open further. Risk warning: There is a risk of oversold rebound in very short cycles, but counter-trend trading is not recommended. Maintain a predominantly bearish outlook, with stop-loss moved up to above 9.00, and take profits gradually within the 8.70-8.80 range.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 01, 2025 03:05
Prediction ID
binance-trumpusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd2002
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.