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Binance SOLUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Oct 09, 2025 15:43
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

212.0-228.0

Mark Price

219.28

Actual Price

207.92

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percentage is 0.18, indicating the price is near the lower band, below the middle band. The downward space is relatively limited but has not breached the support level; thus, the downward momentum is weakening.
  • Both DIF and DEA in the MACD indicator are negative and continue to diverge, indicating a bearish bias. However, the downward exploration range is converging.
  • RSI6 is only at 45, and RSI14 is significantly below 50, approaching oversold conditions. The momentum is weak but not extremely oversold, increasing the probability of a rebound.
  • The KDJ indicator's J value is below K and D, indicating short-term potential for a corrective move, but overall rebound strength remains limited.
  • DMI- > DMI+ and the ADX at 21 show that the current bears are slightly dominant, but the trend strength is moderate with no clear unidirectional trend.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is below 1, with active selling still slightly outweighing buying. However, the large accounts' long-short ratio and large holders' positions are significantly skewed, indicating some buffer power for the bulls at lower levels.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

From the K-line and Bollinger Band structure, SOLUSDT's current price is around 215 with strong support, very close to the lower Bollinger Band, showing obvious signs of short-term oversold conditions, but no strong breakout signal. MACD is diverging below the zero axis, but the downward momentum is waning, and it may soon enter a consolidation and correction phase. Combined with RSI hovering at low levels, the risk of further sharp declines is limited. KDJ three lines are hovering at low levels, with J value comparatively low, indicating a possibility of technical rebound in the medium term. However, since K and D have not formed a clear golden cross, the rebound height is uncertain. DMI and ADX show that the current trend is still dominated by bears, but without a significant trending force. Coupled with data indicating that bulls are slightly favored among large traders, there is pressure for a rebound, and the market is expected mainly to fluctuate within a large range, with support and resistance at approximately 212 and 228 respectively. The funding rate is negative, indicating that leveraged short positions have a higher cost, and some funds have the motivation to close short positions. The divergence between the active buy-sell ratio and large trader accounts' long-short ratio suggests short-term chips are still subject to gaming and divergence, further supporting a consolidating view. Recent trading volume has not expanded significantly, indicating limited downward energy. Short-term price movement may stay within a range of consolidation. It is advisable to wait for a stabilization confirmation in the 212-215 zone before observing for a breakout direction. Stop-loss can be set below 212. If the price breaks below that, be alert for further drop to S2 (around 199). If a rebound occurs, the short-term resistance is mainly around MA20 (226) and the center of the Bollinger Bands near 228, with strong resistance at approximately 234. Trading suggestion: Focus on the 212-215 low-risk buy zone. If a rebound faces resistance near 228, consider gradually taking profit or reducing positions. If the price breaks below this range, execute decisive exit to control risk. Conversely, a sustained move above 228 may signal a buying opportunity.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(45.0276) rsi12(41.7329) rsi14(32.7689)
  • MACD:dif(-1.3384) dea(-0.8335) macd(-1.0096)
  • MA:ma5(224.34) ma10(224.34) ma20(226.4)
  • Boll:up(237.71) mid(226.4) down(215.1)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:27474379.66 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.43%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.6036
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Oct 09, 2025 15:43

Prediction ID

binance-solusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3555

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.