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Binance SOLUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Jul 24, 2025 03:19
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

183.50-187.00

Mark Price

191.24

Actual Price

183.36

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger percent_b is at 0.338503, approaching the lower band, indicating a downward shift in the volatility range and ongoing risk of further price exploration downward.
  • The MACD value is at -3.8327, with DIF and DEA both declining, clearly indicating the release of bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 is at 19.2561, in an extremely oversold state, which may trigger a technical rebound in the short term; however, the overall weak trend remains unchanged.
  • All three KDJ components are in the low zone, with J at 13.3853, demonstrating very weak momentum and no obvious reversal signals.
  • MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all positioned above the current price, forming resistance, with the moving averages displaying a bearish alignment.
  • While the positions of large long-short accounts and the account count ratio are significantly bullish, the buy-sell ratio is below 1, indicating potential short-term trapping of long positions.
  • The ATR volatility is at 5.5975, suggesting the possibility of further short-term downward extension, supported by an ADX above 35, which underpins a trend-based decline.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current SOLUSDT price has rapidly retreated from its high, with the candlestick chart breaking multiple moving average supports. The Bollinger Bands are operating near the lower band, indicating market weakness, and the percent_b is below 0.4, which usually suggests a higher probability of further downward exploration. The MACD continues to amplify bearish momentum without signs of stabilization, combined with an RSI6 in an extremely oversold condition, indicating a short-term rebound is possible but the likelihood of continued decline exceeds that of a rebound. The KDJ oscillator is in the oversold zone, demonstrating very weak momentum and no clear divergence signals have yet appeared. The moving average system is fully formed as resistance, with the 5/10/20 moving averages all above the current price, implying limited upside potential for a rebound and potential resistance zones that may weaken the price further. Although the distribution of long and short accounts (2.96) and the large holder positions ratio (3.3) suggest bullish sentiment, the active buy-sell ratio is only 0.9744, indicating a decreased willingness among funds to take long positions. The main forces are likely in a phase of capital being trapped or retreating downward. Overall trading volume has gradually increased but without signs of panic selling. The ADX remains high, indicating this decline is trend-based, and a short-term reversal appears unlikely. Considering the convergence of trends and indicators, it is expected that SOLUSDT may continue its inertia-driven downward movement within the next 4 hours. If oversold levels stabilize with no further decline, attention can be given to a potential stabilization around 186. A further volume-driven breakdown below 183 would imply an accelerated release of short-term risks. The current operational approach should remain cautiously bearish, focusing on shorting rebounds with a target range of 183.50-187.00. If the 183 support level is broken, downward momentum could accelerate toward lower support zones. Risk reminder: if short-term strong capital replenishment or significant bullish reversal signals appear, profit-taking should be executed flexibly.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(19.2561) rsi12(37.8838) rsi14(45.9189)
  • MACD:dif(2.9447) dea(4.8611) macd(-3.8327)
  • MA:ma5(191.78) ma10(191.78) ma20(195.09)
  • Boll:up(206.91) mid(195.09) down(183.27)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:36552636.72 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.71%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.9604
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Jul 24, 2025 03:19

Prediction ID

binance-solusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd1797

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.