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Binance SOLUSDT 1h Trend Prediction

Aug 02, 2025 00:14
1h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

159.5-162.0

Mark Price

163.08

Actual Price

164.32

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Bands' Percent B is 0.142606, with the price near the lower band, which continues to slide downward, indicating clear weakness.
  • The moving averages are arranged bearish: MA5<MA10<MA20<MA50<MA200, reflecting an ongoing downward trend.
  • Multi-timeframe RSI (rsi6 to rsi24) all below 40, signaling oversold conditions and persistent weakness.
  • MACD DIF and DEA are both negative, with DIF continuing downward; the MACD histogram is expanding, indicating sustained bearish momentum.
  • The KDJ lines all remain in the lower region without signs of turning, maintaining weakness.
  • The Minus DMI is far higher than the Plus DMI, and the ADX at 56.64 indicates a strong, dominant bearish trend.
  • The negative funding rate demonstrates market anticipation of further price decline and risk premium.
  • Large account holdings and open positions are significantly skewed bullish, but prices continue to fall, indicating a risk of passive long liquidation.
  • Trading volume has not expanded significantly; the decline is more likely driven by active selling rather than panic selling.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, the technical outlook for SOLUSDT is predominantly bearish, with trend and strength indicators such as MA, MACD, RSI, and KDJ all pointing downward. The candlestick has plunged significantly from its high, breaking below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and approaching the lower band region, reflecting ongoing downward momentum. Both lines and histograms of the MACD are moving downward in sync, accompanied by a mild increase in trading volume, indicative of a typical weak market pattern. The RSI and KDJ multi-timeframe indicators are all in the oversold zone but show no clear reversal signals, suggesting that the downward trend has inertia but may be nearing short-term oversold conditions. The DMI indicator shows an extremely strong advantage for the bears (−DI approaching 37, +DI only at 5), with the ADX indicating a very strong trend, suggesting the main decline continues. Although the buy-sell ratio and large account holdings are relatively bullish, combined with the market and position data, it is inferred that longs are either trapped or locked in, with no momentum for a trend reversal. The funding rate is negative, implying that long positions are subsidizing shorts, further supporting a bearish outlook. Overall, the probability remains high that the price will continue searching for a bottom within the next 1 hour, with potential retracement to the former low of 159.5–162.0. The neckline or support band may offer brief resistance; if there is no rapid rebound, avoid blindly bottom-fishing. Those with no positions should mainly observe; existing holders may consider modestly reducing risk via partial profit-taking or wait for confirmation of a trap or bottoming. Operational advice: The downward trend has not ceased; do not bottom-fish against the trend. If a volume-increasing halt in decline or a reversal candlestick pattern appears, then consider entering long positions. Overall, prioritize preservation of capital and risk control.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(33.6646) rsi12(34.2568) rsi14(35.8974)
  • MACD:dif(-2.757) dea(-2.5651) macd(-0.3838)
  • MA:ma5(162.86) ma10(162.86) ma20(166.61)
  • Boll:up(171.63) mid(166.61) down(161.6)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:34670296.56 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.07%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.9702
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 02, 2025 00:14

Prediction ID

binance-solusdt-1h-forecast-2025-upd2041

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.