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Binance SOLUSDT 1d Trend Prediction

Dec 11, 2025 03:54
1d
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

122-126

Mark Price

129.46

Actual Price

137.16

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger percent_b at 0.188587 is close to the lower band (at 125.83), indicating limited downside space but ongoing downward momentum.
  • MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all below MA50 and MA200, with prices having broken major moving averages, clearly indicating a bearish arrangement.
  • The MACD histogram is positive, but DIF and DEA are both negative, suggesting a weak rebound in a still bearish trend.
  • All RSI values (6/12/14/24) are below 50, reflecting market weakness with no significant oversold rebound signals.
  • The KDJ K/D values are below 50, with J at an extremely low 17.99; while there are signs of short-term stabilization, no strong reversal signals are evident.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is below 1 (0.9632), showing buy side weakness; funding rate is negative, indicating a strongly bearish sentiment.
  • Large account long/short positions and account ratios are leaning towards long, but this may be due to market manipulation or passive long re-entries; there is divergence between absolute price and large traders’ active strategies.
  • ATR and DMI indicate a significant decline in volatility, with ADX above 30, supporting a dominant downward momentum (DMI_minus far exceeds DMI_plus).
  • The current support level S1 at 125.83 is very close; a breach below this could trigger a series of stop-losses, accelerating the decline.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

SOLUSDT has shown a clear downward trend over multiple recent periods, with the current candlestick breaking through an important support level. The technical pattern is dominated by a bearish trend. The price hovers near the lower Bollinger Band with a very low percent_b, indicating no signs of stopping the decline; further downward breaks are likely. Regarding moving averages, MA5 to MA50 are arranged in a consistent bearish order, indicating a short to medium-term downward trend. Although the MACD histogram has turned positive, the DIF and DEA are still in negative territory, suggesting only a weak rebound that could end at any time. The RSI across various periods shows no signs of oversold rebound, nor has any reversal trigger been observed. Large traders' long positions ratios are high, but active buying versus selling, trading volume, and funding rates all indicate an overall bearish market sentiment. There is potential for market manipulation via high leverage, so caution is advised. The KDJ indicator's J value is at an extremely low level, suggesting a possible short-term rebound with weak momentum; no significant bottom divergence signals are present. The DMI shows bearish dominance (DMI_minus far exceeds DMI_plus), and the ADX is above 30. Coupled with declining ATR, this indicates a strong and stable downtrend. In terms of support and resistance, S1 at 125.83 is very close. A break below this level would accelerate weakening, with the next target dropping to 122 or even lower. There has been no volume surge or panic-selling; thus, the downward move is supported and likely to persist. Short-term strategy recommends maintaining a bearish outlook with target ranges between 122 and 126. If subsequent prices fall outside this range, monitor for signs of stabilization before considering reversal opportunities. During this period, avoid aggressive long positions due to high risk.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(37.5413) rsi12(44.0669) rsi14(40.3709)
  • MACD:dif(-4.7647) dea(-5.8655) macd(2.2017)
  • MA:ma5(133.76) ma10(133.76) ma20(135.42)
  • Boll:up(145.01) mid(135.42) down(125.83)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:32199077.02 (24h)
  • Volatility:3.85%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.4883
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Dec 11, 2025 03:54

Prediction ID

binance-solusdt-1d-forecast-2025-upd4774

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.