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Binance SOLUSDT 1d Trend Prediction

Nov 21, 2025 17:03
1d
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 83%

Target Price

123.5-128.0

Mark Price

128.53

Actual Price

128.17

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The price is near the lower Bollinger Band with percent_b at 0.123476, indicating weak momentum, and the Bollinger Band width remains quite large, showing no signs of convergence for a rebound.
  • Both short-term and long-term moving averages are fully bearish (MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50 < MA200), with the price well below all moving averages, indicating a major trend downward.
  • RSI across multiple periods is significantly below 30 (rsi6: 31.86, rsi12: 21.18, rsi14: 27.14, rsi24: 26.69), reflecting an extremely weak market with oversold momentum but no clear rebound signs.
  • MACD is negative (dif at -14.18), with a sustained death cross and no narrowing of the histogram, indicating the downtrend has not yet ended.
  • The KDJ lines are near the bottom; although J has slightly rebounded, overall weak signals dominate with no obvious signs of reversal.
  • In DMI, +DI is markedly lower than -DI (6.23 vs 30.10), and ADX is as high as 50.64, indicating a strong and unilateral downward strength with sufficient momentum.
  • High trading volume and negative amplitude suggest concentrated selling pressure, significant volume breakdown, and continued short-term inertia.
  • The active buy-sell ratio and funding rate are slightly bearish; while the number of long to short accounts (5.5 ratio) and the large holder long-short positions ratio (1.96) favor longs, the large long positions cannot hide the price inertia downward trend and may pose a risk of forced stop-losses.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current SOLUSDT price is 128.52, approaching a medium- and long-term important support zone with continuous decline, and the K-line overall structure shows acceleration downward. Whether it is the moving average system, momentum indicators, or Bollinger Bands position, the overall configuration is bearish, maintaining a clear downtrend. The lower Bollinger Band (121.19) combined with support levels S1/S2 (125.83, 123.41) forms a short-term rebound defense line, but given the extremely low RSI and prolonged capital outflow, the rebound risk is substantial. Without any oversold reversal patterns, relying solely on a single long account may not sustain a counterattack. MACD remains below zero with a persistent downward expansion, and there has been no historical divergence; KDJ also lingers at low levels for a long time, with a lack of signals indicating a stop in decline. If capital continues to flow out, there is a possibility of breaking below support boundaries (S1/S2). The DMI and ADX combination exhibit a typical unidirectional downtrend pattern; a high ADX reinforces this trend, and +DI being significantly lower than -DI indicates strong bearish pressure. Although the long and short accounts and large holder positions are predominantly long, major capital during the decline phase often involves manipulation or hedging behaviors. This does not necessarily mean an immediate rebound; rather, it may trigger additional stop-losses and liquidations among longs, further exacerbating the downward trend. The active buying vs selling ratio approaching 1, along with a slightly negative funding rate, also signals that the short-term market sentiment has not truly reversed. Considering the current technical formations, indicators, capital flow, and sentiment structure, it is expected that SOLUSDT will most likely continue to oscillate in the 123.5-128 range over the next 24 hours, seeking a bottom amid distribution. If capital continues to exit and the market declines, there is a risk of breaking below S2 (123.41) and attempting to find a bottom at the Bollinger lower band or even temporarily breaching that level. For resistance, look at the 129.5-134 zone; upward movement is likely to be weak. Trading suggestion: Strictly avoid chasing longs; in the short term, monitor for a stabilization and potential rebound at 123.5-125.8. Otherwise, continue to short high or remain on the sidelines; control risk with a stop-loss set below 121.19, and target a range of 123.5-128.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(31.8674) rsi12(21.1893) rsi14(27.1464)
  • MACD:dif(-14.1755) dea(-13.3724) macd(-1.6061)
  • MA:ma5(134.11) ma10(134.11) ma20(150.79)
  • Boll:up(180.4) mid(150.79) down(121.19)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:60681349.46 (24h)
  • Volatility:3.83%
  • Long/Short Ratio:5.5020
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 21, 2025 17:03

Prediction ID

binance-solusdt-1d-forecast-2025-upd4488

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.