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Binance SOLUSDT 1d Trend Prediction

Aug 01, 2025 00:43
1d
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

160.77-170.00

Mark Price

170.84

Actual Price

163.87

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Percent B is 0.297, with the price positioned near the middle to lower band; further decline may approach the lower band.
  • MA5 and MA10 are both below MA20, and the current price is markedly beneath MA10 and MA20, indicating a short-term bearish alignment of moving averages.
  • RSI6 at 17.37 indicates a strong oversold signal; RSI12 and RSI14 are also notably declining, with short-term downward momentum dominant.
  • The MACD is at -5.2629, with DIF below DEA and a negative value, indicating a dead cross and continued downward pressure.
  • KDJ indicators show K at 15.65 and J at -10.37 (extreme overselling); while short-term rebounds are possible, the downward trend has not yet stabilized.
  • Support levels are at S1 (160.77) and S2 (155.03), positioned within the major lower-range zone.
  • Large institutional investors' long-short positions and account ratios favor longs, but the active buy-sell ratio is far below 1, indicating significant short-term selling pressure.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

From the candlestick chart, SOLUSDT's recent overall trend shows a downward trajectory, with higher highs continually declining. Volume changes indicate a broadening decline. Currently, it is near the lower boundary of the prior consolidation zone (around 170), suggesting a higher probability of further decline. Regarding technical indicators, the Bollinger Bands are operating with the middle and lower bands, with the Percent B at 0.297, leaving room to touch the lower band. The short-term moving averages are arranged in a bearish configuration, with MA5 and MA10 both below MA20, reflecting persistent short-term bearish pressure and a clear downtrend. On the RSI front, RSI6 is at an extremely oversold level (17.37), indicating a fierce short-term downtrend. Although there is a rebound demand, no obvious signs of stabilization have emerged. The KDJ indicator's J value has dropped below zero, signaling extreme overselling but has yet to form a golden cross, maintaining a weak market posture. The MACD diverges downward with the red histogram turning green, deepening the downward expectation; no obvious bottom divergence or reversal signals are observed. Within the support and resistance intervals, if the price breaks below 170 in the short term, S1 (160.77) serves as a crucial support level, and further decline could test S2 (155.03). Despite large traders' positions favoring longs, the active buy-sell ratio is low, indicating short-term selling pressure dominates. Spot and short-term behaviors are strongly bearish, with no signs of major market players actively accumulating long positions. The short-term outlook is likely to sustain a weak retracement trend. It is advisable to remain cautious; aggressive traders may consider attempting short-term longs in the 160.77-170 range with a stop-loss below 155. Conservative traders should wait for signs of stabilization or bullish divergence in MACD/RSI before considering entry. Operational strategy should focus on defense, preventing further downside risks. If the price breaks below key supports such as 160.77, it could trigger accelerated declines, so close attention is needed on lower risk zones.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(17.3731) rsi12(42.8859) rsi14(45.9667)
  • MACD:dif(4.4681) dea(7.0996) macd(-5.2629)
  • MA:ma5(177.01) ma10(177.01) ma20(179.55)
  • Boll:up(201.1) mid(179.55) down(158.01)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:21559334.73 (24h)
  • Volatility:3.81%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.2319
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 01, 2025 00:43

Prediction ID

binance-solusdt-1d-forecast-2025-upd1991

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.