LogoDeepredict

Binance LINKUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 11, 2025 13:12
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

21.10-21.20

Mark Price

21.37

Actual Price

21.6

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.26, indicating the price is near the lower band, suggesting downward pressure.
  • The MACD is in the negative zone, with dif and dea both negative, showing that short-term momentum is weakening without signs of stabilization.
  • RSI across 6/12/14/24 periods is below 45, indicating weakness in both short and ultra-short timeframes, with the lower boundary of the oversold zone trending downward.
  • Although the J line in KDJ has rebounded, the K and D lines remain below 30, showing weak short-term rebound strength.
  • The DMI's ADX reaches 39.88, with DMI- significantly exceeding DMI+, indicating a clear and strong downward trend.
  • Both MA5 and MA10 are below MA20 and MA50, indicating the price has broken below key moving averages and accelerating losses.
  • Active buying/selling ratio is below 1, reflecting a predominantly bearish market activity, but the presence of many long accounts suggests risk of passive stops and liquidations among long positions.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

LINKUSDT has shown signs of top-side retracement over the course of nearly 400 candlesticks, with recent consecutive closes at lower prices. The 15-minute chart exhibits a downward trend. The Bollinger Bands are approaching the lower band, and the percent_b indicator is below 0.3, indicating a high likelihood of short-term inertial breakdown testing the support levels. The MACD has been steadily declining from a high level, with both dif and dea values negative. There is no clear sign of convergence, and the histogram bars have not turned red, suggesting that bearish momentum remains and a turning point has not yet occurred. The RSI across multiple timeframes continues to display weakness; short-term buying strength is thin, with some oversold conditions but no confirmed rebound. The KDJ indicator shows weakness; although the J line has rebounded, the K and D lines have not formed a golden cross, indicating weak rebound momentum. The DMI shows a significant negative lead over the positive, with ADX indicating a strongly trending market, clearly favoring short positions at this stage. From the moving average system, MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50, indicating a typical multi-timeframe bearish alignment. The current price is slightly above S1 (21.15), with 21.10-21.20 serving as support levels; there is a risk of inertial breakdown through these levels, potentially touching S1 and S2. On-chain and large-holder accounts show more long positions overall, but the ratio of active buying to large-holder holdings suggests some longs are passive or trapped. As the market continues to decline or experiences fund-driven pressure, there is a risk of further decline. In the short term, if the price cannot effectively reclaim 21.38 (the MA10, previous low, and the confluence point of moving averages), the trend is likely to continue seeking support around 21.10-21.20. Without a significant rebound, it is not advisable to aggressively buy the dip. The recommended strategy is mainly short positions; note that if large volume absorption occurs near 21.10, consider taking profits. Overall judgment indicates that LINKUSDT is clearly biased to the short side in the short term. If the price breaks below 21.15 with increased volume, there is a high probability of further decline toward the 21.10-21.20 range, with caution advised against in-market inertial panic selling. Conversely, if a sudden volume surge results in rapid upward movement, the 21.38 level forms a strong resistance; a convincing breakout above this level should be accompanied by sufficient trading volume to reverse the short-term bearish sentiment.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(41.6376) rsi12(38.0151) rsi14(33.5312)
  • MACD:dif(-0.1944) dea(-0.1832) macd(-0.0225)
  • MA:ma5(21.34) ma10(21.34) ma20(21.6)
  • Boll:up(22.09) mid(21.6) down(21.11)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:37603999.92 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.49%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.0066
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 11, 2025 13:12

Prediction ID

binance-linkusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2467

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.