Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
3645-3800
Mark Price
3788.05
Actual Price
3769.01
Prediction Result
ETHUSDT is currently in an extremely weak market condition, with the price breaking below the lower Bollinger Band, and all short-term moving averages exhibiting death cross formations, indicating bearish pressure. Historical backtests show that such patterns often lead to further declines or sideways consolidation at low levels. Following a strong MACD death cross, the indicator continues to expand downward, with moving averages diverging sharply in a bearish manner. Coupled with the KDJ indicator dropping into very low territory, a meaningful short-term reversal is unlikely. The RSI across multiple timeframes remains oversold, suggesting potential for a technical rebound. However, the prevailing market sentiment is very weak, and further downward movement in the short term is more probable. Trading volume remains high but shows no significant increase or abnormal activity, indicating that major players have not yet completed large-scale shifts or accumulation. Panic selling has not yet subsided. Support and resistance levels indicate that strong support is at approximately 3645. A breakdown below this level could lead to a decline toward 3400-3350. Resistance levels in the short term are at 3800-3890, but the trend remains weak, and upward movements will be suppressed by moving averages. Large traders' long-short position ratio is abnormally high, yet active buying and selling ratios are low, implying that major players may have begun shorting and locking in positions. The market is heavily controlled by dominant forces, making it difficult for regular longs to reverse the trend. Despite severe technical overselling, the market remains extremely weak in the immediate term. Within the 6-hour timeframe, it is highly likely that the price will test support levels between 3645 and 3800. Without sudden extreme positive news, substantial rebounds are unlikely. Trading suggestion: Short-term, consider lightening long positions on rebounds and entering short positions targeting the 3645-3800 range, with a stop-loss above 3900. Stop-losses must be strictly set. Do not chase bottoms blindly; wait for signals of a volume-backed reversal at the bottom.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Oct 30, 2025 16:10
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-6h-forecast-2025-upd3819
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.