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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 18, 2025 15:33
4h
Pending
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3020-3080

Analysis Basis:

  • Price is close to the lower side of the Bollinger Band mid-line; percent_b is at 0.46, indicating a weak position with a high probability of testing the lower band downward.
  • MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all aligned downward; the current price is below all short- and medium-term moving averages, showing a clear bearish arrangement.
  • Although MACD remains negative, the momentum after the golden cross has weakened, with no signs of an upward breakout overall.
  • RSI across multiple timeframes is below 50, with RSI14 at 41.46, reflecting a weak market with selling pressure dominating.
  • KDJ indicator is in a low, flat oscillation; the J-value has shown a short-term rebound, but with limited strength, still favoring a downward bias.
  • DMI indicators show dmi-minus surpassing dmi-plus, indicating stronger downward momentum; additionally, ADX at 31.9 indicates a strong trending market.
  • Active buy-sell ratios lean slightly toward buying (1.0289); however, the major trader long-short store ratio being very high (3.3) suggests large traders are locking in profits on short positions, with signs of main funds closing positions that may trigger further declines.
  • Trading volume has slightly decreased, with a negative amplitude, supporting the continuation of the decline.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT recent 4-hour chart shows a clear weak trend, with candlesticks descending in a stepwise manner, and the moving average system displaying a bearish alignment; the price remains consistently suppressed below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands have significantly widened, but the price still operates below the mid-line, indicating that short-term rebound pressures are greater than support levels; the lower band (around 2983) is likely to be tested subsequently. Although the MACD histogram has narrowed, there is no strong rebound formed overall, and DEA remains negative, indicating that the bearish dominance persists. The RSI across multiple periods remains in the weak zone, with downward momentum exceeding rebounds. The KDJ indicator also does not send a clear bullish signal; the current J-line signifies only a technical rebound. Major traders’ long-short positions are extremely skewed, but active buy-sell ratios show no obvious tendency, suggesting that main capital has entered the market; the risk of closing or exiting positions is considerable, and the market is likely to continue to test support levels further downward. Volatility (ATR reaching 88) and ADX above 30 indicate the downward trend is stable with good continuity, but support for a rebound is weak. Support level is at 3055; if the price falls below this point, the target zone will fluctuate between 3020 and 3080, followed by potential testing and consolidation near the lower Bollinger Band. The outlook for this week is predominantly bearish, advising short-term rebounds to be approached with a reduction in positions; reckless long entries are not recommended. It is suggested to maintain steady short positions until within the 3020-3080 range, with take profit set around 2985. Risk warning: If short-term bullish funds enter rapidly or macro sentiment suddenly improves, a technical rebound around the mid-line may occur, but the probability is low. Strengthen risk management; set stop-losses at 3125 (around the Bollinger mid-line or MA20). Operationally, a trend-based short position is advised within the 4-hour frame, avoiding chasing rallies at high levels.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(49.0677) rsi12(51.0722) rsi14(41.4616)
  • MACD:dif(-59.3285) dea(-62.9291) macd(7.2013)
  • MA:ma5(3049.3) ma10(3049.3) ma20(3124.79)
  • Boll:up(3265.7) mid(3124.79) down(2983.89)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7852027.323 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.86%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.7908
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 18, 2025 15:33

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4327

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.