Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 85%
Target Price
3055-3120
Based on the 4-hour K-line trend observation, ETHUSDT has been continuously declining from a high level, currently breaking below multiple key moving average support zones, with no apparent signs of stabilizing or rebounding. The overall trading volume has not increased, indicating limited bullish interest in absorbing sell orders. From a technical perspective, the MACD death cross persists, RSI remains below 40, indicating the market has entered a weak zone, with increasing short-term downward momentum. Although the KDJ shows a short-term rebound, the overall indicators do not signal a strong stabilization or bullish reversal. The Bollinger Bands percentage (Percent_b) is only 0.32, with the price close to the lower band, and the bandwidth is narrow, suggesting a likelihood of accelerated breakdown in the short term. The support level at 3055 is a potential downside target the price may reach, with a higher probability of downward retest and limited rebound strength. In terms of capital flow and position structure, the active buy/sell ratio is slightly below 1. Both long and short accounts, as well as large holders, predominantly hold long positions; however, with the market price declining, large holders' long positions face increased risk of being caught on the sidelines. Should funds flow out or longs close positions, the downward trend will intensify. DMI data shows that the bearish momentum is strong, with the ADX above 29 and rising, indicating a developing trend. The market volatility, combined with the ATR indicator, shows increased volatility, which raises the probability of short-term declines. The support level at 3055 is critical; if broken, it could trigger further panic selling. The resistance above the short-term rebound is weak, leading to expectations that the price will remain in a downward range, targeting 3055-3120. It is advisable to observe or follow trend-based short positions. Risk warning: If there is a sudden major positive market news, capital flow anomalies, or external triggers, the price could quickly rebound toward the mid-range. It is recommended to control position sizes strictly, set stop-loss orders above 3125, and be prepared to capitalize on the decline while guarding against reversal risks.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Nov 15, 2025 23:17
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4287
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.