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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 15, 2025 23:17
4h
Pending
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

3055-3120

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price is below the Bollinger Bands midline, with Percent_b at 0.32, indicating the price is in the lower portion of the range with downward space.
  • All MACD metrics are negative; the DIF is slightly above DEA but overall still in a dead cross oscillation, dominated by downward momentum.
  • RSI indicators are weak; RSI 14 is only 33, entering the weak zone, with insufficient short-term bullish momentum.
  • KDJ indicator J value exceeds K and D but overall remains weak, suggesting a slight rebound in randomness but a dominant downtrend.
  • The short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10 continue to decline, significantly below MA20/50/200, with medium and long-term moving averages arranged in a bearish pattern.
  • Active buy/sell ratio and the proportion of long and short accounts indicate declining bullish capital activity, potentially leading to reverse squeezes.
  • Large holders' positions are predominantly long, but the price has not supported a significant ascent, increasing the risk of large holders missing the rally and triggering further declines.
  • The minus DMI is far higher than plus DMI, and ADX > 25 and rising, indicating a strong bearish trend and increasing momentum.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on the 4-hour K-line trend observation, ETHUSDT has been continuously declining from a high level, currently breaking below multiple key moving average support zones, with no apparent signs of stabilizing or rebounding. The overall trading volume has not increased, indicating limited bullish interest in absorbing sell orders. From a technical perspective, the MACD death cross persists, RSI remains below 40, indicating the market has entered a weak zone, with increasing short-term downward momentum. Although the KDJ shows a short-term rebound, the overall indicators do not signal a strong stabilization or bullish reversal. The Bollinger Bands percentage (Percent_b) is only 0.32, with the price close to the lower band, and the bandwidth is narrow, suggesting a likelihood of accelerated breakdown in the short term. The support level at 3055 is a potential downside target the price may reach, with a higher probability of downward retest and limited rebound strength. In terms of capital flow and position structure, the active buy/sell ratio is slightly below 1. Both long and short accounts, as well as large holders, predominantly hold long positions; however, with the market price declining, large holders' long positions face increased risk of being caught on the sidelines. Should funds flow out or longs close positions, the downward trend will intensify. DMI data shows that the bearish momentum is strong, with the ADX above 29 and rising, indicating a developing trend. The market volatility, combined with the ATR indicator, shows increased volatility, which raises the probability of short-term declines. The support level at 3055 is critical; if broken, it could trigger further panic selling. The resistance above the short-term rebound is weak, leading to expectations that the price will remain in a downward range, targeting 3055-3120. It is advisable to observe or follow trend-based short positions. Risk warning: If there is a sudden major positive market news, capital flow anomalies, or external triggers, the price could quickly rebound toward the mid-range. It is recommended to control position sizes strictly, set stop-loss orders above 3125, and be prepared to capitalize on the decline while guarding against reversal risks.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(69.1833) rsi12(43.0477) rsi14(33.1944)
  • MACD:dif(-75.0965) dea(-75.5701) macd(0.9472)
  • MA:ma5(3176.16) ma10(3176.16) ma20(3263.78)
  • Boll:up(3518.96) mid(3263.78) down(3008.6)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:2473884.677 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.99%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.9216
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 15, 2025 23:17

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4287

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.