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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 15, 2025 20:40
4h
Pending
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3120-3250

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Bands' percent_b is 0.338753, with the price approaching the lower band (lower_band: 3009.62), yet no extreme downward break has occurred, indicating nearby support.
  • MA5 and MA10 are slightly above the current price but well below MA20/50/200, showing short-term bearishness with limited declines, suggesting a pause or consolidation in the downtrend.
  • The RSI6 reaches 73.1113, indicating short-term overbought conditions, but RSI14 and RSI24 are at 33.659 and 40.2428, respectively, in oversold zones, implying an imminent rebound or sideways movement.
  • MACD is below zero but shows a slight golden cross in DIF (positive MACD), indicating weakening downward momentum and potential for sideways stabilization.
  • KDJ J-value is significantly higher than K/D but overall shifts remain moderately strong, suggesting a possible short-term rebound or continued consolidation.
  • Large traders' long-short positions are above 2.8, and account counts are relatively high. Despite a bias toward the long side, active buy-sell ratios are around 0.9988, implying that spot buying pressure is not dominant.
  • ATR stands at 86.015 with an amplitude of 0.817, and DMI- exceeds DMI+, but ADX is only 29.53, indicating limited overall volatility and an unclear trend.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT is in a short-term weak phase followed by a consolidation range. The Bollinger Bands indicate that the price is close to the lower band but has not broken below, providing strong support; the MACD exhibits a golden cross while momentum weakens, indicating that although bears still dominate, short-term downward pressure is easing. The RSI indicators are diverging: short-term overbought but long-term oversold, suggesting that bulls are prepared for a rebound at any moment, though the overall trend remains weak. The KDJ position is neutral to slightly bullish. Combined with the high institutional holding ratio and balanced active buying and selling ratio, this indicates that major players lack a clear direction but are wary of shorting risk. The current price is suppressed by multiple moving averages with no significant increase in volume, indicating moderate market enthusiasm. The bullish traders are constrained by medium to long-term participants. Key support levels to watch are S1 (3055); a short-term retracement to this level could provide some rebound support. The first resistance zone is at the MA20 (3264.22). It is expected that the price will fluctuate within the 3120-3250 range in the short term, with the trend still unclear. Patience is advised until a volume breakout signal occurs before adopting a trend-following strategy. Trading suggestion: In a sideways market, focus on short-term long positions on dips and short positions on rallies, as no extreme directional signals are present. Avoid chasing or panic selling. Risk control should be set at 3050 (a confirmed break below this indicates a downtrend). If volume breaks above 3265, consider adding a light long position with the trend aiming toward the MA50 (3390). With funding rates low (0.0001) and overall active trading continuing but without extreme levels, range-bound operations are suitable. Although the long-short ratio among big players leans towards the long side, the active buy-sell ratio and moving average alignment suggest short-term bulls should remain cautious.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(73.1113) rsi12(43.9869) rsi14(33.659)
  • MACD:dif(-74.4016) dea(-75.4311) macd(2.0589)
  • MA:ma5(3177.9) ma10(3177.9) ma20(3264.22)
  • Boll:up(3518.81) mid(3264.22) down(3009.62)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:2794344.017 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.98%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.9216
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 15, 2025 20:40

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4285

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.