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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 15, 2025 13:25
4h
Pending
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3055-3175

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger %b is 0.298583, and the price is positioned near the lower band and middle band regions, indicating considerable downward pressure.
  • RSI across multiple periods (6/12/14/24) are all within the 30-45 range, with RSI 14 at only 25.89, showing evident overselling without signs of rebound.
  • MACD dif and dea are both negative, and the MACD histogram is negative, indicating that the bearish trend persists.
  • Moving averages MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50, and MA200 are all in a bearish alignment, with the price well below long-term averages, reinforcing downward momentum.
  • The DMI shows that the -DI (minus DI) is significantly higher than +DI (plus DI), and ADX exceeds 25, indicating a strong current downtrend.
  • Support level S1 is at 3055; as the price approaches S1, there is a risk of testing this support in the short term.
  • While the large traders' open interest ratio and account counts are heavily skewed to the bullish side, the absence of a significant price lift suggests potential market manipulation to induce retail traders.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is only 0.9346, indicating insufficient buying pressure.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a pronounced short- to medium-term downtrend: the price has been consistently operating near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with all major moving averages arranged in a bearish configuration, and rebound momentum is insufficient. From RSI and MACD indicators, both are in the bearish zone, and the oversold RSI has not resulted in an effective rebound, highlighting weak market characteristics; the MACD histogram continues to show negative bars, indicating that bearish momentum has not yet been exhausted. The DMI indicator shows that -DI is significantly higher than +DI, with a strong ADX value, further confirming the validity of the downward trend. Additionally, volatility and ATR are moderate, suggesting that short-term declines may slightly intensify. Trading volume has not shown significant expansion, indicating a lack of support for a strong rebound. The active buy-sell ratio is less than 1, reflecting insufficient investor conviction to chase higher prices. Although the large traders' bullish-bearish indicator indicates a bullish advantage, the combined analysis of price and volume suggests the presence of market manipulation to induce retail traders, implying a risk of quick downside test of support level S1 in the near future. Recent support level around 3055 should be monitored closely; if breached, it will accelerate the decline and test even lower zones. Resistance levels are at 3175 and near the MA10. It is expected that in the next 4 hours, the price may oscillate within the 3055-3175 range downward; a breakdown of S1 could lead to further weakening. Trading strategy should focus on shorting during rebounds with caution. If the price falls below 3055, timely stop-loss actions are recommended. Position control is essential to avoid counter-trend bottom fishing.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(46.3989) rsi12(32.5424) rsi14(25.8931)
  • MACD:dif(-82.8761) dea(-75.2454) macd(-15.2614)
  • MA:ma5(3158.93) ma10(3158.93) ma20(3293.75)
  • Boll:up(3577.7) mid(3293.75) down(3009.79)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4726259.326 (24h)
  • Volatility:2.09%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.0519
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 15, 2025 13:25

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4265

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.