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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 14, 2025 16:01
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3055-3150

Mark Price

3194.52

Actual Price

3207.4

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current ETH price (3194.52) is close to the lower Bollinger Band (3108.96), with percent_b=0.168, indicating the downward trend has not ceased.
  • MA moving averages are in a bearish alignment: MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50 < MA200, showing an obvious long-term downward structure.
  • RSI6=49.61, RSI12=33.62, RSI14=27.57, all well below 50, in oversold territory. Although a short-term rebound may occur, the overall weakness persists.
  • MACD dif=-80.41, dea=-54.77, macd=-51.27, with significantly expanded negative values, indicating bearish dominance with no signs of a bullish crossover.
  • The KDJ lines remain around 20; the J line is slightly higher, but no reversal trend is present. There remains room for downward movement after a weak rebound.
  • DMI- (29.63) is significantly higher than DMI+ (12.14), and the ADX=23.6 indicates a weak trend dominated by bears.
  • Volatility is negative (-5.632), and the funding rate is nearly zero, reflecting low market enthusiasm and insufficient bullish intent.
  • Major accounts and long-short ratio are skewed towards long positions, yet the price remains weak. This suggests that the rebound-capital is being passively absorbed, making it difficult for bulls to support the price higher in the current trend.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

On the 4-hour K-line chart, the ETH long-term downward channel structure is clear, with moving averages continuously suppressing rebounds, and no obvious signs of a bottoming pattern or stabilization candlesticks observed. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands and Bollinger Bandwidth are contracting, with the price significantly falling below the middle Bollinger Band; current percent_b is only 0.17, indicating that the price remains in a low position. The extremely weak structure makes a short-term reversal unlikely. All three major momentum indicators—MACD, RSI, and KDJ—are in bearish alignment with no signs of a rebound. MACD's negative values are widening and far below zero, RSI shows severe short-term overselling with divergence from a bottoming pattern, and KDJ lines are wandering at low levels. The DMI indicator further confirms the weak trend, with DMI- above DMI+ and ADX in a mild trend region, indicating the market has vigorous downward momentum but has not crashed. A short-term slowdown in decline is possible. Although the active buy/sell ratio and large account holdings suggest some market participants are attempting to catch rebounds, the price lacks solid support and there is no corresponding capital inflow. The recent rebounds are passive pickups in a weak market, with a higher probability of continued downward trend. The immediate short-term support zone is between 3055-3150 (S1 + support band). If broken, there is a risk of the price falling below the lower Bollinger Band. This zone is likely to become a key battleground between bulls and bears in the near term. It is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach during this period. Avoid contrarian bottom fishing. For long positions, consider setting a short-term target in the 3055-3150 range. If broken downward, caution is advised due to the risk of further decline. Overall assessment: ETH/USDT continues to trend weakly downward on the 4-hour chart, with a recent lack of strong rebounds. Follow the bearish trend, paying attention to the support level at 3055-3150.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(49.6052) rsi12(33.6186) rsi14(27.5739)
  • MACD:dif(-80.4089) dea(-54.7714) macd(-51.2749)
  • MA:ma5(3194.77) ma10(3194.77) ma20(3364.22)
  • Boll:up(3619.49) mid(3364.22) down(3108.96)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:9846894.517 (24h)
  • Volatility:2.18%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.9825
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 14, 2025 16:01

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4240

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.