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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 14, 2025 14:39
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

3055-3125

Mark Price

3185.07

Actual Price

3172.89

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • ETHUSDT price is approaching the lower Bollinger Band, with percent_b only at 0.12, indicating the price is in a weak zone.
  • MACD is negative and expanding, with DIF and DEA continuously declining, indicating dominant bearish momentum.
  • All RSI indicators are below 40 (RSI6 only 21), strongly oversold, with little potential for short-term rebounds.
  • All three lines of KDJ are markedly low, with J below K and D, clearly indicating a bearish trend.
  • All moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with short-term MAs below medium- and long-term MAs, reflecting strong bearish pressure.
  • DMI indicators show dmi_minus significantly above dmi_plus, and while the ADX is not high, it still suggests the trend has ongoing persistence.
  • The long-short position ratio among large traders is 2.56, and the account ratio is as high as 3.8; however, the active buy-sell ratio is below 1, suggesting some accumulation on dips but no clear trend reversal.
  • Support level S1 is at 3055; the current price is only about 130 points above support, so breakage risks should be cautiously monitored.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on recent K-line data and Bollinger Bands, ETHUSDT has consecutively broken through multiple moving averages and is gradually approaching the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. The current percent_b is only 0.12, indicating the presence of accelerated downward momentum and making effective rebounds difficult. The MACD indicator shows an expanding negative value with no signs of bottom divergence, continuing to decline with increasing volume; meanwhile, RSI values at multiple short-term periods (6, 12, 14, 24 cycles) are all far below normal, diminishing short-term rebound strength, and the bearish signal is prominent. All moving averages are arranged in a bearish configuration, with the price significantly below MA5 to MA50, indicating a weak technical pattern. The DMI shows a dominant dmi_minus indicator, suggesting a continued trend decline. Although the ADX is not high, the trend is clearly persistent. The KDJ indicator is operating at severely low levels, with the J line below K and D, all in a weak zone, confirming that bears are in control and short-term significant rebounds are unlikely. Despite the long-term accounts ratio and large trader holdings ratio indicating a willingness to buy on dips, the buy-sell ratio does not show a clear excess of buying, and active market participants remain cautious about going long, with short-term declines showing no signs of stabilization. The amplitude and volatility are relatively high, with ATR exceeding 100. As profit-taking weakens, the bears are likely to continue exerting downward pressure toward the 3055-3125 zone. If the price falls below 3055, there is a risk of further new lows. Overall judgment suggests that ETHUSDT will likely continue its downward trend over the next 4 hours, targeting the range of 3055-3125. It is recommended to follow the decline with a light position, setting a stop-loss above 3185. If the price reaches support levels, one may observe for rebound signals.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(21.3965) rsi12(31.4869) rsi14(36.5034)
  • MACD:dif(-79.1471) dea(-48.5444) macd(-61.2055)
  • MA:ma5(3199.53) ma10(3199.53) ma20(3382.53)
  • Boll:up(3642.42) mid(3382.53) down(3122.63)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:9908339.030 (24h)
  • Volatility:2.41%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.1169
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 14, 2025 14:39

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4237

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.