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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 14, 2025 12:43
4h
Pending
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

3000-3055

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band's percent_b is -0.032399, and the price has fallen near the lower band, indicating an extremely weak pattern with no signs of rebound momentum.
  • The MACD values (dif-87.45, dea-50.20, macd-74.49) are in deep negative territory, showing strong bearish momentum that has yet to converge.
  • RSI6 is only 9.08, and RSI14 is only 31.15, indicating extreme overselling and heavy selling pressure, yet lacking effective short-term rebounds.
  • The KDJ indicator's J value is -1.45, with all three lines at very low levels, suggesting that the current bearish trend has not yet bottomed out.
  • All moving averages show death crosses, with the price well below the MA200, MA50, and MA20, indicating a clear bearish alignment.
  • The active buy/sell ratio is merely 0.8838, demonstrating weak buying strength; funding rates are low, and market sentiment in the short term is very冷淡.
  • The large accounts' long/short positions ratio is 2.5675; the number of long/short accounts is 3.1169; and large account long/short ratios are 3.8008. Although longs outnumber shorts significantly, this may be due to trapped or forced positions, and the price-volume combo does not support a reversal.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The ETHUSDT price has sharply declined from recent highs, with nearly 400 four-hour candlesticks demonstrating a sustained weakening trend. It has currently fallen to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with the bandwidth clearly widening (bandwidth 0.165), reflecting recent high volatility and rapid downward movement. The MACD indicator shows persistent and rapid bearish momentum, with both lines not yet converging, indicating extremely weak short-term upswing potential. Although RSI and KDJ are both significantly oversold, there are no signs of a trend reversal or rebound in the short term. Under extreme bearish conditions, weak consolidation often leaves room for further decline. The bullish arrangement of moving averages has been completely broken, as all key moving averages are distant from the current price, reflecting极度悲观的市场情绪 and making short-term rebounds highly difficult. The active buy/sell ratio and funding rates are both in low zones, indicating little short-term demand and insufficient aggressive buying in the market. The account structure shows large accounts predominantly holding long positions, but combined with volume and candlestick structure, this suggests some large traders are either trapped or have pre-arranged their positions. The short-term trend is dominated by bears, with no signs of bottoming out. Looking at support levels, 3055 serves as the current strong support. If breached, it may test the psychological level of 3000. Recent trading volume has not increased, and there is no momentum for a reversal; the short term is expected to see continued fluctuation and downward movement between 3055 and 3000. Summary: ETHUSDT is highly likely to continue declining over the next four hours, with no strong technical signals. Risk management recommends using 3055 as the first support level; if broken, consider liquidating positions and observing. The short-term trend favors bears, so it is not recommended to buy the dip now, but instead to wait for signs of bottom stabilization. If a sudden market reversal occurs, an upward correction is only expected to reach around 3100-3150, but the probability is currently very low. Stop-loss is advised below 3055; if price reaches 3000, it is recommended to stay on the sidelines.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(9.0836) rsi12(24.3626) rsi14(31.152)
  • MACD:dif(-87.4506) dea(-50.2051) macd(-74.4911)
  • MA:ma5(3178.72) ma10(3178.72) ma20(3377.32)
  • Boll:up(3656.35) mid(3377.32) down(3098.29)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:9392504.559 (24h)
  • Volatility:2.38%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.1169
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 14, 2025 12:43

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4230

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.