Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 85%
Target Price
3000-3055
The ETHUSDT price has sharply declined from recent highs, with nearly 400 four-hour candlesticks demonstrating a sustained weakening trend. It has currently fallen to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with the bandwidth clearly widening (bandwidth 0.165), reflecting recent high volatility and rapid downward movement. The MACD indicator shows persistent and rapid bearish momentum, with both lines not yet converging, indicating extremely weak short-term upswing potential. Although RSI and KDJ are both significantly oversold, there are no signs of a trend reversal or rebound in the short term. Under extreme bearish conditions, weak consolidation often leaves room for further decline. The bullish arrangement of moving averages has been completely broken, as all key moving averages are distant from the current price, reflecting极度悲观的市场情绪 and making short-term rebounds highly difficult. The active buy/sell ratio and funding rates are both in low zones, indicating little short-term demand and insufficient aggressive buying in the market. The account structure shows large accounts predominantly holding long positions, but combined with volume and candlestick structure, this suggests some large traders are either trapped or have pre-arranged their positions. The short-term trend is dominated by bears, with no signs of bottoming out. Looking at support levels, 3055 serves as the current strong support. If breached, it may test the psychological level of 3000. Recent trading volume has not increased, and there is no momentum for a reversal; the short term is expected to see continued fluctuation and downward movement between 3055 and 3000. Summary: ETHUSDT is highly likely to continue declining over the next four hours, with no strong technical signals. Risk management recommends using 3055 as the first support level; if broken, consider liquidating positions and observing. The short-term trend favors bears, so it is not recommended to buy the dip now, but instead to wait for signs of bottom stabilization. If a sudden market reversal occurs, an upward correction is only expected to reach around 3100-3150, but the probability is currently very low. Stop-loss is advised below 3055; if price reaches 3000, it is recommended to stay on the sidelines.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Nov 14, 2025 12:43
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4230
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.