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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 14, 2025 09:13
4h
Pending
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

3055-3165

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price at 3202.69 is close to the Bollinger lower band at 3162.41, with percent_b at 0.08, indicating the price is weak and near the lower band.
  • The MA moving average system is distinctly bearish, with MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50 < MA200, showing no sign of stabilization in the short term.
  • RSI across various periods is in the extremely oversold zone (RSI6 at just 9.27), with very weak momentum and a high probability of further decline.
  • MACD lines are both negative, with the histogram expanding, accelerating the downtrend, and bearing momentum dominating.
  • KDJ lines are low, and the J value is rapidly declining, with no immediate rebound signals in the short term.
  • DMI- is well above DMI+, and the ADX is above 20, indicating a clear trending downtrend with no signs of reversal.
  • Active buy and sell ratio is below 1, showing mild selling pressure in the market.
  • Large investors' holdings ratio and account counts are somewhat high but are part of bottom-fishing strategies, and the market has not yet established reversal conditions.
  • The sole support point S1 at 3055, located on the lower side of the current range, presents increased risk of breakdown.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has shown a cliff-like decline in the past 4 hours candlestick chart, with Bollinger Bands width significantly expanding, indicating high volatility. The current price is close to the lower Bollinger Band, with a strong oversold signal, but the support level at 3055 below still faces testing, and short-term bearish momentum remains unchecked. All moving average systems are arranged in a bearish configuration, with no signs of bottoming out in the short term, and there is a significant divergence from the middle and lower Bollinger Bands, indicating evident market pressure. The short-term RSI / RSI6 are extremely oversold, but the MACD histogram continues to expand, suggesting room for further price decline and no rebound momentum at present. The three lines of KDJ are all well below 50, with the J line leading the decline, implying that a short-term rebound demand has not yet formed, and bears may continue to dominate the market. Market trading volume is high, amplitude has widened, active buy and sell ratio is below 1, and short-term sentiment remains bearish. However, large investors' long-short positions ratio is high, mainly representing left-side capital positioning, and does not yet support a reversal. More confirmation is needed through additional support levels. The current daily chart shows an obvious downtrend. If the support at 3055 is broken, there is further risk of decline. If not broken, there might be a short-term stabilization around 3055, with a possible very short-term bounce, but based on current technical indicators, the 4-hour cycle overall remains dominated by a downtrend. Investors are advised to operate cautiously, mainly adopting a bearish strategy, but should monitor whether the 3055 support level is broken. If it holds, they can wait for a short-term oversold rebound; however, overall, reckless bottom-fishing is still not advisable. Stop-loss is recommended below S1; if 3055 is effectively broken again, reduce positions or exit to wait for stabilization. The above conclusions are based on the main indicators across the full cycle pointing to a bearish trend, with no clear rebound signals observed. This indicates a high-confidence bearish forecast.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(9.2758) rsi12(24.3727) rsi14(35.4415)
  • MACD:dif(-69.6687) dea(-39.9449) macd(-59.4477)
  • MA:ma5(3213.81) ma10(3213.81) ma20(3403.43)
  • Boll:up(3644.45) mid(3403.43) down(3162.41)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:8684527.347 (24h)
  • Volatility:2.32%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.0883
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 14, 2025 09:13

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4229

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.