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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 14, 2025 07:07
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

3055-3185

Mark Price

3199.75

Actual Price

3178.56

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Price has broken below the middle Bollinger Band and is approaching the lower band; with percent_b at 0.034, deeply in the lower zone, the probability of short-term inertia-driven decline is high.
  • MACD shows a significant negative value, with dif and dea both negative, and the MACD histogram has not shown clear contraction, indicating strong bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 is extremely low at only 8.34; RSI14 is only 36.9. Despite severe short-term overselling, no reversal signals are evident, and inertia-driven decline dominates.
  • KDJ indicators are at low levels, with K, D, and J lines all in the lower range without signs of turning, indicating a weak short-term trend.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is 0.902, weaker than neutral, suggesting insufficient buying interest.
  • The number of long and short accounts, the large account long-short ratios, and overall holdings are skewed towards longs, indicating bottom fishing activities; however, TECnical pressures are pronounced, and a bullish reversal has not yet formed.
  • Volatility amplitude reaches -9.497, with elevated volatility and ATR values, suggesting that the downward momentum may continue to release energy.
  • Support level S1 is at 3055; prices are highly likely to probe this area for a bottom. The R zone is significantly distant, and there is currently no rebound momentum.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has recently experienced a sharp decline from a high level. Currently, on the 4-hour chart, various technical indicators show significant downward pressure. The MACD trend is clearly bearish, and the indicator has not yet contracted, indicating that bears are still releasing energy, and there is a high possibility of prices continuing to probe lower driven by inertia. The moving average system is predominantly arranged in a bearish alignment. Short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50) are all below the 200-day moving average, and the price has broken below all short-cycle moving averages, lacking rebound momentum. The RSI series is extremely low, indicating severe overselling; however, market sentiment and momentum have not shown reversal or significant repair signals. A rapid rally is unlikely at this time, and while a technical rebound may occur later, the short-term downside risk is higher. The KDJ indicator lines are weakening at low levels without clear turning points, combined with proximity to the lower Bollinger Band, indicating short-term inertia downward; further support breaches should be guarded against. Although the long-short ratio system shows that large players' holdings are relatively long, the price remains under technical suppression, which benefits bottom fishing but entails high risk of catching a falling knife. It is prudent to wait for indicators to stabilize or for substantial improvements in capital flows before considering bottom buys. The key support level is at 3055. If this is effectively broken, a new downward phase could unfold, with short-term target zones set at 3055-3185. Generally, it is advisable to wait for indicators to recover and establish a bottom before contemplating a rebound. There are no significant anomalies in the 4-hour trading volume, but overall volatility and ATR are relatively high, warranting caution for accelerated risks following trend breaks. It is recommended to strictly place stop-loss orders below 3040 and wait for clearer signs of stabilization before considering long positions.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(8.3444) rsi12(35.7688) rsi14(36.9322)
  • MACD:dif(-64.2744) dea(-32.7537) macd(-63.0414)
  • MA:ma5(3247.43) ma10(3247.43) ma20(3422.77)
  • Boll:up(3663.1) mid(3422.77) down(3182.44)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:8602241.847 (24h)
  • Volatility:2.34%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.5086
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 14, 2025 07:07

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4224

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.