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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 14, 2025 05:46
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

3055-3170

Mark Price

3181.77

Actual Price

3168.53

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 3181.77 is close to the lower Bollinger Band at 3178.38, with the percent_b at only 0.007421, indicating extreme downward movement and a bearish stance.
  • All major moving averages (MA5 through MA200) are above the current price, indicating a comprehensive bearish trend across short, medium, and long-term horizons, with no clear signs of rebound.
  • The MACD indicators show DIF at -65.61, DEA at -33.02, and MACD at -65.18, with a significantly expanding green histogram, demonstrating very weak momentum and a clear bearish trend.
  • The KDJ lines are at very low levels, with J at just 10.68, K at 19.83, and D at 24.41, in the severely oversold zone but showing no rebound signals.
  • RSI6 is only 8.01 and RSI14 at 36.2, both indicating oversold conditions. Although there may be short-term rebound triggers, historical lows tend to be followed by inertial declines.
  • The ATR of 99.7822 reflects high volatility. The DMI+ at 14.92 is far below DMI- at 32.53, signifying a strong dominance of the bearish trend.
  • On-chain indicators such as active buy-sell ratios and position ratios suggest bullish sentiment, but contradictions between funding and price movements may indicate trapped longs or forced bottom fishing, making short-term rebounds highly unlikely.
  • Support level S1 is at 3055, currently representing an accelerated downtrend zone. A break below this level could further extend the downtrend.
  • The candlestick chart shows multiple recent lows with increasing volume, with new lows not yet stabilized.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is experiencing a relatively strong decline, with all major technical indicators indicating extreme bearish signals. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands is being continuously tested, with no clear support near historical lows, and the MACD and RSI are at their lowest levels in nearly twelve weeks, indicating heavy selling pressure. The candlestick trend shows multiple sharp drops recently, with increased trading volume suggesting heightened selling pressure. Although some on-chain indicators show bullish positions, it is likely that these are passive holdings accumulated during dips, and market sentiment remains extremely bearish. Long-term moving averages are arranged in a bearish alignment, with MA200, MA50, and MA20 all acting as resistance levels, and the price remains below MA5, with no technical support or reversal signals emerging. The KDJ indicator shows severe oversold conditions across all three lines; while a short-term weak rebound is possible, upward momentum is insufficient, making any rally highly unsustainable, with a dominance of downward trend. High volatility coupled with a low ADX (19.41) suggests that the current decline has not yet ended, but excessive volume and oversold conditions may induce a temporary rebound that could evolve into a further trap for bulls. Based on comprehensive support and resistance analysis, 3055 is identified as the recent support zone. A break below this level would accelerate the downward exploration, potentially leading to further declines towards S1 or even new lows. The next four hours are expected to see continuation of the decline or sideways volatilization, with target zones between 3055 and 3170. Short-term bearish positions are recommended; any upward corrections should be considered as weak retracements, with close attention needed for risk management and stop-loss control.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(8.013) rsi12(35.0332) rsi14(36.2014)
  • MACD:dif(-65.6146) dea(-33.0218) macd(-65.1856)
  • MA:ma5(3244.07) ma10(3244.07) ma20(3421.93)
  • Boll:up(3665.48) mid(3421.93) down(3178.38)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:8364494.046 (24h)
  • Volatility:2.35%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.5086
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 14, 2025 05:46

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd4222

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.