Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT has exhibited a clear bearish signal in the recent cycle. The overall center of the candlestick chart has shifted significantly downward, with the price breaking below the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, confirming a stage technical breakdown. The MACD indicator is extremely bearish, showing no signs of a stable bottom, making short-term rebound efforts very difficult. The RSI has remained in the oversold zone below 30, indicating a potential for short-term oversold bounce, but all momentum indicators show no signs of a bottoming, and the technicals are weakening across the board. The KDJ shows extreme exhaustion of momentum, lingering at the bottom without a golden cross, suggesting the downward inertia may persist. The moving average system is fully declining, with MA5 and MA10 well below the support levels of MA20 and MA50. The current price is significantly below all key moving averages, confirming a definitive bearish trend environment. Although large accounts are holding relatively bullish positions, the price is in a dominant downtrend, which does not constitute a reversing force. While the main account long-short ratio and holding ratio are biased towards bullishness, this predominantly reflects large traders buying the dip, but technical indicators have yet to confirm a bottom, giving short-term bearish dominance. The trading volume has sharply increased and volatility has intensified, indicating that market selling pressure has yet to be fully released. It is expected that ETHUSDT will continue to trade sideways within the 3100-3220 range over the next four hours, with a downward trend. If the previous low is maintained, a technical rebound may occur, but further testing of the 3055 support level within the day cannot be ruled out. Operationally, the focus should be on shorting at high levels during rebounds, with caution advised on longs. Stop-loss is recommended around the MA5 top at approximately 3320; take-profit should be set at the recent short-term low of 3055 support level. If broken, long positions should be avoided. Position management should be strict, favoring light long or short positions, and only considering long entries after a clear bottom formation appears.