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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Nov 05, 2025 05:11
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

3200-3250

Mark Price

3342.77

Actual Price

3388.43

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percentage is 0.160474, with the price near the lower band and the bandwidth contracting, indicating a clear downtrend with increased volatility potential.
  • MACD shows a significant negative value with dif and dea declining simultaneously; MACD histogram is enlarging, indicating strengthening bearish momentum.
  • RSI(6/12/14/24) values are all below 30, generally in oversold territory, suggesting short-term technical rebounds are possible but overall weakness persists.
  • KDJ lines K and D are well below 50, with J slightly higher but not signaling a clear reversal, and no visible signs of stabilization.
  • The large account open interest ratio (2.8142) and account count ratio (3.6425) are extremely bullish, implying high leverage among bulls; however, the price continues to fall unilaterally, indicating potential forced liquidation of long positions, increasing further downside risk.
  • Active buy-sell ratio (0.9876) close to 1 indicates balanced market forces but does not prevent downward price movement.
  • Increased amplitude, along with expanded 4-hour trading volume and turnover, suggests market dominance by selling pressure and intensified decline dynamics.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The ETHUSDT price has experienced a significant decline in the past 4 hours, currently dropping near 3342, with the lowest approaching the lower Bollinger band (3206.57), and the Bollinger bands widening, indicating increased volatility and a continued downtrend risk. Technical indicators are broadly bearish: MACD shows accelerating bearish momentum, RSI across multiple timeframes is extremely oversold, suggesting short-term selling pressure has not yet eased, and no effective technical bottom has formed. Although KDJ’s J line shows a staged rebound, it remains in the weak zone, indicating a low probability of a subsequent rally. The moving average system is arranged in a bearish order (MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50 < MA200), with the price operating below all moving averages, indicating strong retracement momentum. The open interest and positioning ratios between bullish and bearish accounts are extremely skewed bullish, yet no price rebound has occurred. This implies that short-covering by bulls may continue to see fund outflows, and selling pressure has not abated. Short-term traders should remain cautious of potential dips caused by friction selling. An increase in large capital participation (volume/turnover ratio) has led to greater amplitude movements, typically associated with trend acceleration rather than reversal. There are no clear support points (S1/S2/S3 are not indicated), and the market remains in a bottoming process. It is possible that the decline will continue into the 3200-3250 range for a final bottom. Strategy suggestion: predominantly short-term bearish, exercise caution on early rebounds. If trading is necessary, wait for stabilization within the 3200-3250 range before considering bullish positions, with stop-loss set below 3150. Short-term profit targets are suggested around 3300. Implement strict risk control; avoid chasing long positions.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(33.1778) rsi12(27.6409) rsi14(22.4451)
  • MACD:dif(-144.2826) dea(-111.2365) macd(-66.0922)
  • MA:ma5(3339.47) ma10(3339.47) ma20(3630.97)
  • Boll:up(4055.36) mid(3630.97) down(3206.57)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:11630187.477 (24h)
  • Volatility:2.78%
  • Long/Short Ratio:3.0568
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Nov 05, 2025 05:11

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3911

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.