Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 85%
Target Price
3200-3250
Mark Price
3342.77
Actual Price
3388.43
Prediction Result
The ETHUSDT price has experienced a significant decline in the past 4 hours, currently dropping near 3342, with the lowest approaching the lower Bollinger band (3206.57), and the Bollinger bands widening, indicating increased volatility and a continued downtrend risk. Technical indicators are broadly bearish: MACD shows accelerating bearish momentum, RSI across multiple timeframes is extremely oversold, suggesting short-term selling pressure has not yet eased, and no effective technical bottom has formed. Although KDJ’s J line shows a staged rebound, it remains in the weak zone, indicating a low probability of a subsequent rally. The moving average system is arranged in a bearish order (MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50 < MA200), with the price operating below all moving averages, indicating strong retracement momentum. The open interest and positioning ratios between bullish and bearish accounts are extremely skewed bullish, yet no price rebound has occurred. This implies that short-covering by bulls may continue to see fund outflows, and selling pressure has not abated. Short-term traders should remain cautious of potential dips caused by friction selling. An increase in large capital participation (volume/turnover ratio) has led to greater amplitude movements, typically associated with trend acceleration rather than reversal. There are no clear support points (S1/S2/S3 are not indicated), and the market remains in a bottoming process. It is possible that the decline will continue into the 3200-3250 range for a final bottom. Strategy suggestion: predominantly short-term bearish, exercise caution on early rebounds. If trading is necessary, wait for stabilization within the 3200-3250 range before considering bullish positions, with stop-loss set below 3150. Short-term profit targets are suggested around 3300. Implement strict risk control; avoid chasing long positions.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Nov 05, 2025 05:11
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3911
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.