Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT within the 4-hour cycle shows both fundamental and technical analyses presenting a typical downward trend. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands remains under continuous pressure, and the price has significantly diverged from the middle line region, with a very low percentage, indicating dominant bearish forces. The moving average system is in a bearish alignment; the short-term prices have already broken below all major moving averages without signs of stabilization or rebound, reflecting persistent outflows of major funds and high risk in long-side cost zones. The three major momentum indicators—MACD, RSI, and KDJ—are in clearly weak regions. MACD shows continuous expansion of bearish momentum without divergence, indicating that the downward space has not been fully exploited; RSI across the six, twelve, and fourteen periods are at rare lows but have not formed a stabilization pattern, suggesting ongoing short-term downward inertia. Active buy-sell ratio below 1, with continuous negative funding rates, indicating a classic bearish market sentiment; despite the significantly higher number of long-side accounts and positions compared to short, the price movement suggests bottom fishing at lows, which can easily trap long positions, leading to short-term capital instability. The support level at 3822 is an important recent observation point. If broken, it may probe 3671. The 4-hour cycle is expected to mainly involve a slow bottoming process, with price oscillation and downward trend, indicating weak consolidation. The resistance level at 4066 (middle Bollinger Band and MA20) is difficult to challenge effectively. The candlestick chart shows small consecutive bearish candles with volume supporting a balanced, non-panic decline, but the trend does not indicate a definitive bottom. Any large-volume rebound from lows needs observation, but current data are insufficient to signal an reversal. In the next 4 hours, it is recommended to primarily follow the trend and short; the short-term target price range is 3820-3865. If approaching the support at 3820, detailed judgment based on volume divergence can be made; if volume expands, consider conditions for a short-term reversal rebound, otherwise continue to follow the downward trend. Risk warning: If the price breaks above the middle Bollinger Band at 4066, immediately stop loss on the short positions. Suggested stop-loss is set around 3965-3980 (near MA5/MA10). Short-term shorts are recommended, with take-profit targets at 3820-3865.