LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Oct 21, 2025 00:30
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

3900-4030

Mark Price

3976.05

Actual Price

3863.95

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger %b is at 0.6357, with price oscillating near the middle band, not touching the upper or lower bands, indicating sideways range characteristics.
  • RSI12 and RSI14 are both moderately strong but not in extreme overbought zones (63.07 and 64.31), while RSI6 is relatively low, indicating short-term oversold correction but overall balance, implying consolidation within a range.
  • MACD is positive with a clear golden cross, dif and dea are both positive, suggesting a predominantly bullish trend but with decreasing momentum; in a choppy market, the bulls are maintained but without strong breakout energy.
  • KDJ indicators show K and D values converging, J declining, with increased short-term volatility but no directional trend development, indicating a sideways movement.
  • Long and short account ratios along with large trader holdings show significant bullish bias (ratios at 2.4674, 2.6654, 2.8565), indicating strong bull sentiment but active buy-sell ratio at 0.92 is not extremely bullish, reflecting limited momentum.
  • Price is below MA5 and MA10 but above MA20, with no clear signals of moving average breakthroughs, positioning within major MA zones.
  • Volatility and ATR are lower than historical highs, DMI shows negative dominance greater than positive, ADX at 20.4694, indicating an unclear trend with reduced amplitude, implying a weak trend consolidation scenario.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a consolidation phase with Bollinger Bands' upper and lower bands under pressure, showing no signs of breakout. Although there is short-term retracement pressure, MACD and large trader position data indicate that the bulls have not significantly retreated, suggesting that market sentiment still holds bullish expectations but momentum is insufficient to drive a substantial breakout. In terms of moving averages, the current price is below the short-term MAs (MA5 and MA10) but remains above MA20, which has not been breached. This indicates a consolidation at high levels, with potential breakthroughs requiring more trading volume and sentiment support. RSI across different periods shows clear divergence: the longer periods (12 and 14) stay above 60 but are not in extreme overbought territory, while the shorter period RSI has dipped below 30, reflecting sector rotation of funds. The market has not entirely lost impulse for upward movement, but short-term retail profit-taking pressure is increasing. The KDJ indicator displays J values significantly lower than K and D, with short-term volatility intensifying but bullish momentum lacking to break upward, suggesting a cautious and oscillating market stage. Fundamentally, overall sentiment leans bullish: large traders and account long-short ratios are between 2.4 and 2.8 times, but active buy-sell ratio is only 0.92, indicating bullish positions are being laid out but not aggressively, possibly waiting for a retracement before resuming momentum. Support and resistance analysis: resistance is relatively distant (R1 at 4957), and support S1 at 3822; the current price is well within these key levels, further suggesting continued sideways oscillation within a broad range. Considering technical indicators, capital sentiment, and market volatility, the expected trend for ETHUSDT in the next 4 hours is mainly sideways consolidation within 3900~4030, with directional movement requiring further capital influx or news catalysts. Trading advice: primarily observe. If a retracement occurs to around 3900, consider short-term long entries; if a breakout above 4030 occurs with volume, pay attention to movements. Aggressive chasing is high risk, and short-term breakout signals are absent. Stop-loss suggested below 3822, with take-profit targets between 4030 and 4100.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(26.0746) rsi12(63.0704) rsi14(64.3123)
  • MACD:dif(13.7017) dea(4.7913) macd(17.8208)
  • MA:ma5(3993.47) ma10(3993.47) ma20(3941.39)
  • Boll:up(4066.86) mid(3941.39) down(3815.92)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:3840891.586 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.65%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.4674
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Oct 21, 2025 00:30

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3687

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.