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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Oct 11, 2025 11:01
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

3540-3820

Mark Price

3828.35

Actual Price

3820.59

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • ETH price is currently close to the lower Bollinger Band (percent_b very low at only 0.09), showing extreme weakness. After breaking the middle Bollinger Band, it has sustained a downward move.
  • MA moving averages are in a bearish alignment; the current price has already broken below MA5 and is far below MA10, MA20, and MA50, indicating a very weak trend.
  • RSI6 is only 10.84, and RSI14 is only 15.88, both in the extreme oversold zone, indicating extreme weakness but no signs of stabilization yet.
  • Both MACD dif and dea are significantly negative, with the MACD histogram deepening downward, demonstrating strong bearish momentum.
  • KDJ is operating within a weak zone; while the J value has slightly rebounded, it is insufficient to change the overall weak pattern.
  • DMI shows -dmi far exceeding +dmi, and ADX is high at 44.91, indicating an extremely strong and persistent downtrend.
  • Support level S1 at 3822 is near being breached; if lost, it is likely to retrace toward S2 at 3542.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is only slightly above 1, and the funding rate is negative. Although long and short positions/accounts ratio is extremely bullish, there is a potential risk of chasing shorts. Data suggest that after a sharp decline, a short-term rebound could be triggered at any time, but the main trend remains bearish.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current ETHUSDT candlestick is in an extremely strong selling pressure state, breaking below all major moving averages within 4 hours and moving near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating an extremely bearish technical structure. The MACD indicator has expanded significantly downward, with a complete death cross, showing that the market still has a strong desire to sell off. At the same time, RSI has fallen into an extreme oversold zone, but no strong rebound signal has yet appeared. Overall, the market is firmly controlled by bears. Although the J value of KDJ has slightly rebounded, both K and D remain in weak zones, reflecting that the downward trend has not changed. The negative DMI is very strong and ADX remains high, indicating a trending decline rather than mere consolidation. If support level S1 (3822) is effectively broken, it is highly likely to further decline towards S2 (3542). The rebound space is limited by resistance from MA5 and MA10, with only short-term resistance near 3890-4060. The rebound potential is limited. Large institutional long positions are extremely bullish, so a short-term rebound may occur at any moment. However, such rebounds are mainly fleeting retracements after extreme overselling, not a reversal of the trend. If support levels are continuously broken and rebounds lack volume, a waterfall decline is highly probable. Based on K-line patterns, mainstream indicators, and major fund structures, it is predicted that ETH will continue to face pressure and decline over the next 4 hours. It is advisable to wait for stabilization or a volume-increasing bullish candlestick before attempting a low buy. Do not buy against the trend. For aggressive short positions, the profit-taking range is recommended between 3540-3820. In cases of extreme overselling with an unexpected large rebound, watch for the resistance zone at 3820-4060. Prioritizing capital safety and risk control, if the price breaks below 3540, caution is advised regarding accelerated decline risks, and strict stop-loss measures are recommended.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(10.8359) rsi12(17.363) rsi14(15.8772)
  • MACD:dif(-175.7642) dea(-113.2058) macd(-125.1167)
  • MA:ma5(3838.01) ma10(3838.01) ma20(4249.25)
  • Boll:up(4762.79) mid(4249.25) down(3735.71)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:13413064.142 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.95%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.3967
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Oct 11, 2025 11:01

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3571

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.