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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Oct 10, 2025 13:49
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

4250-4450

Mark Price

4369.25

Actual Price

4058.67

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percentage is 0.324643; the price is between the middle and lower bands, with signs of downward probing but no effective breakdown.
  • The MACD is in negative territory, with DIF and DEA both negative and not showing significant convergence, indicating clear weak oscillation characteristics.
  • RSI6 is at 69.11, showing short-term bullishness, but RSI14 and RSI24 are relatively low, indicating a slowdown in downside momentum.
  • The KDJ lines are all at low levels with signs of recovery, but no clear short-term direction has emerged.
  • Large account long-short holdings ratio and number of accounts are both above 2, but active buy-sell ratio and trading volume have not expanded significantly, suggesting the market has not yet resonated into a strong trend.
  • ATR and volatility are relatively small (ATR = 75.0, volatility = 0.009), indicating limited short-term price fluctuations.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT is below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, without touching the lower band, indicating that the downward momentum is slightly weakening but lacking strong rebound energy, with overall consolidation and adjustment being predominant. The MACD is in negative territory with the green columns expanding, showing no clear reversal signals in the short term. The RSI appears relatively strong in the short term but remains weak in the medium and long term, indicating market hesitation and that the bulls have yet to establish a dominant force. The current trading volume maintains a moderate level with no significant amplification, and the active buy-sell ratio is 1.01, suggesting that both buyers and sellers are actively trading but below the threshold for a trend explosive move. Support and resistance levels are very clear: a short-term defense zone has formed between 4220 and 4250 below, with resistance encountered around 4430-4450 above. The market is oscillating within a large range, with limited downside space in the short term and weak upward momentum. Large account long-short ratio concentrates above 2 but has not further stimulated the market trend, indicating some funds may be hedging or locking positions. High holdings have not fully transitioned into a primary upward wave. In the short cycle, a cautious approach is recommended. If the price pulls back to the support level without breaking below, consider taking light long positions anticipating a rebound, with a target zone of 4450. If support is broken, timely stop-loss is necessary. Overall, avoiding chasing trades and waiting for a breakout or supporting news is advised. Funding rates are basically zero, and the market shows no significant directional coercion, so a sideways trading strategy is preferred. Stop-loss can be set below 4200. If the price surpasses the 20-period moving average (4432) with volume, consider short-term breakout entries.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(69.1156) rsi12(41.1506) rsi14(40.6891)
  • MACD:dif(-46.4465) dea(-34.4669) macd(-23.9592)
  • MA:ma5(4348.31) ma10(4348.31) ma20(4432.23)
  • Boll:up(4614.71) mid(4432.23) down(4249.75)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:3851475.725 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.9%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.1046
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Oct 10, 2025 13:49

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3566

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.