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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Oct 09, 2025 15:49
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

4200-4250

Mark Price

4294.41

Actual Price

4058.69

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • RSI indicator is fully oversold, with RSI14 at only 22.08 and RSI6 at 25.45, showing strong bearish momentum.
  • The MACD indicator shows serious divergence, with DIF at -33.00, DEA at -4.21, and histogram at -57.59, indicating a clear bearish trend.
  • The KDJ indicator is fully biased to the downside, with K at 15.91, D at 21.54, and J at only 4.64, indicating immense short-term downward pressure.
  • The Bollinger Band percentage is only 0.01372, and prices have broken below the lower Bollinger Band at 4286.93, showing a significant technical breakdown.
  • Price at 4294.41 has broken key moving averages such as MA5, MA10, and MA20, forming a bearish alignment.
  • The DMI indicator shows bears dominating, with DMI- at 28.66 much higher than DMI+ at 13.55, and ADX at 27.95 confirming trend strength.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has shown a clear bearish pattern in the current technical outlook. The price of 4294.41 has broken below the lower Bollinger Band at 4286.93. The Bollinger Band percentage is only 0.01372, indicating the price is in an extremely oversold state, yet the bearish momentum remains strong. The RSI indicator fully shows oversold signals, especially RSI14 at only 22.08, far below the 30 oversold threshold, indicating strong market panic. The MACD indicator is in serious divergence, with DIF and DEA both negative and widening apart, and the MACD histogram at -57.59 indicating very strong bearish momentum. The moving average system has formed a bearish alignment, with the price breaking below key supports such as MA5 (4412.29), MA10 (4440.73), and MA20 (4527.85). Only the MA200 (4369.64) provides minor support, but a breakout below it is highly probable. The funding rate of 0.00004897, though positive, is relatively low. The 24-hour amplitude is -3.594%, showing continued decline. The active buy-sell ratio of 0.9219 is below 1, indicating greater selling pressure than buying pressure. Support and resistance analysis shows key support levels at S1 (4220.0) and S2 (4205.49), which closely align with our target price range of 4200-4250. The DMI indicator confirms a bearish trend, with an ADX of 27.95 indicating a relatively strong trend. Overall technical indicator analysis suggests a high probability of ETHUSDT continuing to decline in the short term, targeting the price range of 4200-4250, near the key support levels. Investors should operate cautiously, waiting for oversold rebound signals before considering entry. Risk warning: Although the technical outlook is bearish, RSI has entered a deep oversold region, with potential for a technical rebound. It is recommended to set stop-losses near 4200; if the price falls below 4200, further decline toward the S3 support level around 4060 may occur. Operational suggestion: Currently, a wait-and-see approach is advised. Once the price drops to the 4200-4250 support zone and a stop-decline signal appears, consider a light long position for tentative testing. Strict risk control and proper stop-loss placement are essential.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(25.4495) rsi12(26.4719) rsi14(22.0793)
  • MACD:dif(-33.0004) dea(-4.2063) macd(-57.5881)
  • MA:ma5(4412.29) ma10(4412.29) ma20(4527.85)
  • Boll:up(4768.77) mid(4527.85) down(4286.93)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5048471.920 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.36%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.0312
AI Model Information

Used Model

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

Prediction Date

Oct 09, 2025 15:49

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3556

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.