Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
4200-4250
Mark Price
4294.41
Actual Price
4058.69
Prediction Result
ETHUSDT has shown a clear bearish pattern in the current technical outlook. The price of 4294.41 has broken below the lower Bollinger Band at 4286.93. The Bollinger Band percentage is only 0.01372, indicating the price is in an extremely oversold state, yet the bearish momentum remains strong. The RSI indicator fully shows oversold signals, especially RSI14 at only 22.08, far below the 30 oversold threshold, indicating strong market panic. The MACD indicator is in serious divergence, with DIF and DEA both negative and widening apart, and the MACD histogram at -57.59 indicating very strong bearish momentum. The moving average system has formed a bearish alignment, with the price breaking below key supports such as MA5 (4412.29), MA10 (4440.73), and MA20 (4527.85). Only the MA200 (4369.64) provides minor support, but a breakout below it is highly probable. The funding rate of 0.00004897, though positive, is relatively low. The 24-hour amplitude is -3.594%, showing continued decline. The active buy-sell ratio of 0.9219 is below 1, indicating greater selling pressure than buying pressure. Support and resistance analysis shows key support levels at S1 (4220.0) and S2 (4205.49), which closely align with our target price range of 4200-4250. The DMI indicator confirms a bearish trend, with an ADX of 27.95 indicating a relatively strong trend. Overall technical indicator analysis suggests a high probability of ETHUSDT continuing to decline in the short term, targeting the price range of 4200-4250, near the key support levels. Investors should operate cautiously, waiting for oversold rebound signals before considering entry. Risk warning: Although the technical outlook is bearish, RSI has entered a deep oversold region, with potential for a technical rebound. It is recommended to set stop-losses near 4200; if the price falls below 4200, further decline toward the S3 support level around 4060 may occur. Operational suggestion: Currently, a wait-and-see approach is advised. Once the price drops to the 4200-4250 support zone and a stop-decline signal appears, consider a light long position for tentative testing. Strict risk control and proper stop-loss placement are essential.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Oct 09, 2025 15:49
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3556
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.