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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Sep 22, 2025 07:53
4h
Pending
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

4060-4200

Analysis Basis:

  • RSI6 at 9.82 and RSI14 at 18.65 indicate severe oversold conditions, but the downward momentum remains strong.
  • MACD at -46.22, with both DIF and DEA negative, confirms a clear bearish trend.
  • Bollinger Bands percent B at -0.36 and the price below the lower band signal strong bearish sentiment.
  • All moving averages are in a bearish alignment: MA5 (4383.5) < MA10 (4428.39) < MA20 (4458.28).
  • DMI indicators show DI- at 53.14 greatly exceeds DI+ at 6.80, indicating dominant bearish strength.
  • KDJ J value at 27.56 is below the K value of 35.30, showing ongoing downward pressure.
  • Funding rate is negative at -0.00000730, reflecting strong short-selling sentiment.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a clear downtrend, with technical indicators all bearish. The price of 4198.09 has broken below the lower Bollinger Band of 4306.92, indicating a strong bearish signal. The RSI indicator is oversold across the board, with RSI6 at only 9.82, suggesting intense selling pressure in the short term. Although the oversold state may trigger a technical rebound, the current dominant bearish trend limits the rebound strength. The MACD indicator shows a typical bearish divergence, with DIF (-48.18) and DEA (-25.07) widening the gap, and the MACD histogram (-46.22) reflecting strong bearish momentum. The moving average system is completely arranged in a bearish pattern, with the price well below all major moving averages. The short-term moving averages MA5-MA20 form a significant resistance zone between 4380 and 4460. In the DMI indicator, the ADX is 30.35, indicating moderate trend strength, but DI- vastly leads DI+, signifying a very clear downtrend. The ATR of 74.68 indicates high volatility. From support and resistance analysis, the first support level S1 below is at 4060, which is a key support zone. If this level is broken, the next support S2 at 3636.78 may be tested. Trading strategy suggestion: Consider a light short position at the current level, with a target price range of 4060-4100. A stop-loss can be set near 4350 (above MA5). Risk warning: Although all technical indicators are bearish, the severe oversold condition of RSI may trigger a short-term rebound. Close attention should be paid to the validity of the 4060 support level. If this level receives strong support and a volume-backed rebound occurs, strategy adjustments are necessary.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(9.8204) rsi12(15.3697) rsi14(18.65)
  • MACD:dif(-48.1844) dea(-25.0733) macd(-46.2222)
  • MA:ma5(4383.5) ma10(4383.5) ma20(4458.28)
  • Boll:up(4609.65) mid(4458.28) down(4306.92)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4485285.072 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.07%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.5398
AI Model Information

Used Model

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

Prediction Date

Sep 22, 2025 07:53

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3342

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.