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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Sep 15, 2025 13:38
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4450-4520

Mark Price

4526.48

Actual Price

4492.11

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band's percent_b is at 0.101, with the price near the lower band and significantly below the middle band, indicating downward pressure.
  • MACD shows dif<dea and a MACD value of -48.77, a clear death cross signal with continued downward momentum.
  • RSI6 is only 35.1, and RSI14 is even lower at 26.3, with extreme weak momentum, indicating oversold conditions but no signs of a rebound yet.
  • KDJ indicators are declining across all lines, with the J value falling to 10.37, showing weak momentum without the formation of a bullish crossover.
  • The moving averages are arranged as MA5<MA10<MA20, with short to medium-term moving averages turning downward and pressing against current prices.
  • In DMI, dmi_minus exceeds dmi_plus, and the ADX at 25.6 indicates a strengthening downtrend.
  • Volatility is negative, and on-chain data such as active buy-sell ratios and account counts further confirm a bearish dominance, especially among large holders holding predominantly short positions.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT is in a weak oscillating downward phase, with the 4-hour candlestick chart showing continuous bearish candles. The price repeatedly probes the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, yet no clear sign of a trend reversal has emerged. The MACD remains in a death cross, accompanied by an RSI at an extremely low level across the entire cycle, indicating that short-term capital inflows have not yet sustained, with a high probability of slight downward pressure and attempts to test lower support levels. The J value of the KDJ indicator has notably fallen below key levels; historical backtesting shows that such a pattern often entails an inertia-driven additional decline phase. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 are sequentially compressed downward, suggesting that after a short-term weak rebound, new lows are likely to be formed. In the DMI indicator, the bearish momentum dominates, and the ADX stands above the trend confirmation line, implying that the current downtrend remains valid. Although volatility is not extreme, it still supports the continuation of a downward movement. On-chain data shows an active buy-sell ratio below 1, with both long and short position holdings, as well as account numbers, significantly favoring the bears, especially among major holders whose positions are predominantly short, indicating strong confidence among short- and medium-term traders to sell. The first support zone S1 is at 4205. It is expected that the price may not quickly break below this level in the short term. However, under the main wave suppression, there is a substantial probability of a slow decline toward the 4450-4520 range. If trading volume further increases or the price breaks through S1, attention should be given to the defense level at 4065. In summary, multiple technical indicators are resonating to indicate short-term pressure. It is advisable for investors to wait on the sidelines or cautiously establish short positions, setting appropriate stop-losses, and look for over-sold rebound signals before shifting market stance.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(35.1175) rsi12(29.9487) rsi14(26.3351)
  • MACD:dif(25.2545) dea(49.6381) macd(-48.7671)
  • MA:ma5(4576.75) ma10(4576.75) ma20(4629.06)
  • Boll:up(4760.6) mid(4629.06) down(4497.53)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4017273.758 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.7%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.9630
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Sep 15, 2025 13:38

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3268

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.