Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT is currently in a clear short-term correction phase. The Bollinger Bands show the price approaching the lower band, which still possesses potential for further decline. Corresponding to the 4-hour K-line trend, several recent bearish candles display signs of resistance. The MACD indicator is significantly negative and continues to expand, indicating that the current downward momentum is relatively concentrated with limited rebound strength. RSI6 and RSI14 averages are both trending downward without reaching extreme oversold levels, suggesting there may still be downside space in the short term. The KDJ indicator is weakening synchronously, especially with the J line dipping more noticeably, reflecting an extreme contraction in short-term momentum. Coupled with recent active buy-sell ratio, where active sell orders have increased significantly, this indicates a strong outflow of funds. The DMI indicator's ADX, although not yet very strong, has reached a critical level, hinting at an increasing trend strength. Although large holders' long and short positions are relatively high, a combined analysis of active buy-sell ratios and the number of accounts with long and short positions reveals a divergence between capital flows and market sentiment, raising suspicion of a trap to induce buying. Under such circumstances, unless a significant volume-driven rebound occurs, the probability of short-term decline increases. Considering the historical K-line movements, the price has already broken below the support of the short-cycle moving averages, making it more probable to revisit lower support zones (4420-4530). Trading volume remains relatively stable without substantial volume spikes, indicating no clear signals of bullish entry. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, the price is likely to seek support within the 4420-4530 range, with an overall continued bearish adjustment. Trading suggestion: Wait and see or lightly short with the trend, monitoring whether the 4420-4530 support zone proves effective. If multiple candles close below this range consecutively, further target downside extension can be considered. Should a volume-driven rebound occur, dynamic adjustment of take-profit and stop-loss positions is necessary.