LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 30, 2025 04:41
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 78%

Target Price

4260-4350

Mark Price

4354.99

Actual Price

4396.02

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price at 4354.99 is close to the lower Bollinger Band at 4264.03, with Bollinger Band percent_b at only 0.21001, indicating the price is in a weak zone.
  • MACD remains in negative territory (dif: -58.71, macd: -31.16), showing that bearish momentum has not yet been exhausted.
  • RSI across multiple periods (especially RSI12 at only 25.19) are in low levels, indicating weak short-term momentum and that the bulls have not effectively regained strength.
  • KDJ is in a low sideways range (K: 29.87, D: 25.27), with J value slightly higher but not turning upward, reflecting overall weak oscillation with a bearish bias.
  • DMI (dmi_minus: 23.31 > dmi_plus: 14.77) and the low ADX (16.68) indicate a downward trend with no signs of reversal.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is only 0.908, suggesting short-term active selling dominates and bearish forces are limited.
  • While large funds' long/short positioning ratio leans more towards longs, the market does not show volume and price action supporting an upward move, implying that major capital is mainly engaged in lock-up or speculative positioning, without driving a new upward wave.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a relatively clear correction phase. The Bollinger Bands have narrowed, and the price has directly fallen near the lower band, making it highly susceptible to testing the support level below in the short term. Most technical indicators (MACD, RSI, KDJ, DMI) collectively favor a bearish outlook, and the volume-price relationship does not show signs of increasing volume indicating a bullish reversal, suggesting insufficient upward momentum for a rebound. Although open interest data indicate some funds are positioning for long trades, the active buy-sell ratio and trading volume data show the market remains predominantly under passive selling pressure, making it difficult for the rebound to break through effectively. The support point S1 (4060) is close to the current lower Bollinger Band at 4264. In the short term, the price is likely to test the 4260 level; if it breaks below this, further decline to the 4060-4160 area is possible. Within the 4-hour K-line timeframe, the prior high-level consolidation after a rally has been broken, and the lower moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) are arranged in a bearish alignment, indicating a clear short-term bearish trend. Overall assessment suggests ETHUSDT may face risks of weak oscillatory decline. It is advisable to hold a wait-and-see stance or consider high-position selling, looking for shorting opportunities within the 4260-4350 range. Only if there is a significant volume shrinkage to halt the decline, with KDJ and MACD divergence showing signs of reversal, can a strategy of stop-loss and rebound be considered. Short-term trading carries higher risks, requiring strict stop-loss procedures. If the price breaks below S1 (4060), traders should be alert to an acceleration of downside movement.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(40.1378) rsi12(25.1996) rsi14(36.9348)
  • MACD:dif(-58.7114) dea(-43.1286) macd(-31.1655)
  • MA:ma5(4343.43) ma10(4343.43) ma20(4480.59)
  • Boll:up(4697.15) mid(4480.59) down(4264.03)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6617422.956 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.13%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.0148
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 30, 2025 04:41

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3057

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.