Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

From the candlestick trend analysis, ETHUSDT currently exhibits a clear top structure, with consecutive bearish candles moving downward and trading volume slightly increasing. Combined with the Bollinger Band lower band resistance and width, no signs of a rebound or stabilization are observed. The MACD indicator's negative values are expanding, and no bottom divergence is seen, indicating that the downward momentum release has not yet ceased. Despite the RSI being severely oversold, there are no signs of reversal; short-term rebounds may occur but do not constitute a basis for trend reversal. The long and short data structure shows that, although large holders' positions are extremely long, combined with KDJ death crosses and the retail and active trading ratios being more short-biased, the overall market sentiment is strongly bearish. Large holders are likely capitalizing on liquidity to suppress prices and accumulate positions. While trading volume is high, there is no evidence of bullish accumulation driving a rally. Short-term support is only near ATR/S1 (4060); a breakdown or accelerated decline below this level is possible. Support and resistance are distinct. R1 and R2 are too far from the current price, offering no direct upward support. Conversely, S1 below provides significant pressure and is prone to testing. It is recommended to strictly control positions in the short term and exercise caution when shorting. Rebounds that do not surpass MA5/MA10 can be considered for small short positions, and only after confirming a valid bullish engulfing pattern (positive candlestick engulfing a negative one) should short-term rebound strategies be considered. Stop-loss should be placed above 4332 (MA5). For the next 4-hour cycle, the price target range is 4100-4260. If support at S1 is broken, it is advisable to reduce positions or follow short positions immediately. In summary, there is a high probability of continued inertial decline with the trend remaining unchanged. It is necessary to maintain risk awareness and avoid blindly bottoms fishing.