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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 30, 2025 01:14
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4200-4270

Mark Price

4342.58

Actual Price

4364.24

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger %b is at 0.152378, indicating that the price is near the lower Bollinger Band, with further downside risk.
  • The MACD is negative and continues to decline (dif: -59.01, dea: -39.37, macd: -39.28), suggesting bearish momentum with no sign of reversal.
  • RSI across all periods are in weakness zones (RSI6 at only 19.1, RSI14 at 32.65), showing market overselling but no clear stabilization signals.
  • KDJ indicator values are also low, residing in the weak zone, with no signs of a bottom in the short term.
  • Moving averages MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 are aligned in a bearish configuration, and the price has broken below multiple MA supports.
  • The 24-hour amplitude is negative, combined with a low active buy-sell ratio (0.8515), indicating insufficient bullish momentum in the short term.
  • Despite a higher long-to-short position ratio among large traders, current price movements and volume do not reflect upward buying strength.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently experiencing a persistent pullback; the Bollinger Bands indicate the price has approached the lower band, with short-term resistance and ongoing volatility not converging, suggesting a higher probability of further decline. The MACD shows a significant bearish trend; no signs of divergence are observed, indicating that the dominant market force remains bearish, and the bulls have yet to gain strength. The RSI and KDJ oscillators across all cycles are in oversold zones, but no immediate signs of bottoming are present; this indicates an inertia-driven downward risk, and short-term rebounds are unlikely. The moving average system is broadly weakening; MA5 has fallen below MA10 and MA20, while MA50 remains relatively high, implying short-term sentiment is bearish with limited prospects for a strong rebound. Although trading volume is substantial, its volatility is low, reflecting cautious market sentiment as mainstream funds await further confirmation of direction. Active buy-sell ratios and amplitude indicate significant selling pressure; short-term support levels are around the previous low in the 4200-4270 range, and a breakdown below this may test strong support at 4060. While large traders are holding long positions, this has not stabilized the overall market trend; further downside risk remains cautionary. It is recommended to observe the market or take a light short position following the trend; if support at 4200 is broken, targeting 4060. Stop-loss should be placed above 4300, and if a strong rebound occurs, consider adjusting positions accordingly.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(19.0911) rsi12(31.8799) rsi14(32.6525)
  • MACD:dif(-59.0072) dea(-39.365) macd(-39.2843)
  • MA:ma5(4339.66) ma10(4339.66) ma20(4492.35)
  • Boll:up(4707.79) mid(4492.35) down(4276.91)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6154716.720 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.16%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.0769
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 30, 2025 01:14

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3052

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.