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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 29, 2025 21:55
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4200-4350

Mark Price

4357.41

Actual Price

4275.79

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.146, and the price is close to the lower band, indicating a clear weakness.
  • The MACD is at -44.47 with both dif and dea negative, showing a death cross that is widening, with strong bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 is at 18.24 and RSI14 is only 29, both in oversold zones in the short and medium term, but no definite rebound signals are observed.
  • The three KDJ lines are around 20, in an extreme oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of continued inertial downward movement.
  • MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50, and the current price is below multiple moving averages, indicating a clear bearish arrangement.
  • Large accounts’ long-short positions and account ratios are both above 2 times, with strong bullish support, but the price has not stabilized effectively, indicating a scenario of bulls trapped at high levels coupled with strong bearish pressure.
  • DMI+ at 16.41, DMI- at 22.27, and ADX at 15.77 indicate a bearish dominance but with moderate trend strength. The short-term outlook is bearish, caution against any sudden rebounds.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT over the past 4 hours is near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with multi-timeframe moving averages showing a bearish alignment. There is a potential for inertial downward movement in the short term. The candlestick chart shows a retracement from a high, with volume not exhibiting extreme amplification, indicating that selling pressure is still being absorbed, and short-term sentiment remains weak. From the MACD and RSI indicators, both are in the oversold territory, but no clear stabilization or reversal signal is observed, making inertial decline or oscillation to find a bottom likely. The KDJ indicator is also in an extreme oversold zone, with upward rebound momentum not yet accumulated. The active buy-sell ratio is slightly above parity, and the large accounts' long-short positions are at very high levels, indicating that bullish traders are still holding firm. However, the market shows a 'bulls missing the boat' passive scenario. Without additional inflows supporting a rally in the short term, further downside testing and shakeout are highly likely. Short-term support is considered at S1 (4060), with resistance zones around the MA5/MA10 bands and the middle Bollinger Band (4340-4504). Considering all factors, it is expected that the next 4 hours will see oscillations in the 4200-4350 range with a slight weakness. A breakdown of 4200 would test the strong support at 4060. Trading recommendation: Currently, avoid chasing short positions. Monitor the 4200-4250 zone for a potential stabilization and rebound. Once a volume-driven reversal candlestick appears, consider short-term long positions. If prices fall below 4200, strictly cut losses. Capital safety is the priority; maintain a cautious and conservative approach.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(18.2351) rsi12(36.8434) rsi14(29.0436)
  • MACD:dif(-56.7098) dea(-34.4743) macd(-44.4711)
  • MA:ma5(4346.7) ma10(4346.7) ma20(4504.85)
  • Boll:up(4713.25) mid(4504.85) down(4296.46)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6255393.824 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.23%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.0285
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 29, 2025 21:55

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3048

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.