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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 29, 2025 16:14
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4180-4330

Mark Price

4335.04

Actual Price

4332.19

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price has broken through the middle Bollinger band and is approaching the lower band, with percent_b at 0.049551 indicating the price is at the lower Bollinger band, implying weak rebound strength.
  • MACD is at -51.4786 with widening spread, indicating continued bearish momentum.
  • RSI on 6/12/14 timeframes is in the 30-32 range, indicating extreme short-term overselling but no clear divergence, with bear pressure dominating.
  • All three lines of the KDJ indicator are in oversold territory with the J value at a very low level, suggesting a potential technical bounce in the short term but overall downward trend remains.
  • The active buy/sell ratio combined with volume (0.9499 < 1) shows market active buying interest is weak.
  • Although the long/short account ratio and large account holdings ratio are偏多 (favoring longs) at 2.12 and 3.22 respectively, during a declining trend, these may reflect trapped longs or passive addition of longs by big players rather than a market-led direction.
  • Four-hour volume-price data shows a decline with increased volume, with an amplitude of -3.944 confirming the acceleration of the downtrend.
  • ATR and volatility are elevated, with increasing disagreements between bulls and bears, indicating a high probability of short-term inertial decline.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT current technical outlook is bearish, with the price breaking below MA20 and even MA5 and MA10, and the MACD indicator shows increasing bearish momentum, supporting a short-term pullback. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands has not yet been broken, with the primary support zone situated between 4315 and 4180. If there is no significant influx of funds driving an upward move in the short term, it is likely to further test the S1 support at 4060, with the target zone tentatively set between 4180 and 4330. If trading volume continues to expand, attention should be paid to the risk of breaking down further. The active buying and selling ratio is close to 1 and slightly below, indicating no obvious bottom-fishing capital involvement, with short-term dominance by bears. Although large accounts favor longs, sustained price decline could lead to passive additional positions by major players at high levels, increasing selling pressure. In the next 4 hours, focus on the Bollinger lower band and MA200 support (4170-4315). A breakdown may accelerate further weakness. If the price quickly recovers above the middle Bollinger band (4512.56), the bearish outlook would be invalidated and require re-evaluation, though this is less likely. Based on combined candlestick patterns and technical indicators, it is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach or short on rallies in the short term, with strict stop-loss above 4315 (lower Bollinger band). The bearish target is between 4180 and 4330; a breakdown of S1 at 4060 warrants attention to the risk of a secondary drop, and caution is advised when going long. If an oversold rebound occurs, its height should be judged based on trading volume and order book strength, recommending cautious short-term longs without chasing highs and timely taking profits.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(32.3387) rsi12(30.7759) rsi14(31.5281)
  • MACD:dif(-54.7268) dea(-28.9875) macd(-51.4786)
  • MA:ma5(4371.83) ma10(4371.83) ma20(4512.56)
  • Boll:up(4710.48) mid(4512.56) down(4314.65)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6366427.432 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.27%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.1221
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 29, 2025 16:14

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3047

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.