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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 29, 2025 14:47
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4060-4320

Mark Price

4301.72

Actual Price

4309.83

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price has broken below the middle Bollinger Band and approached the lower band; the percent_b of Bollinger Bands is negative, indicating a risk of further decline.
  • MACD shows a clear death cross with significantly negative values, indicating very weak momentum and a strong bearish signal.
  • Multi-period RSI values are substantially below 30 (e.g., RSI6 at 21.08, RSI12 at 23.99, RSI14 at 31.7), showing oversold conditions, but the trend of falling has not yet reversed.
  • KDJ indicator's three lines are at low levels, with the J line negative, indicating continued bearish dominance without signs of a reversal.
  • The ratio of longs to shorts and the position ratio are somewhat bullish, but active buy-sell ratio remains below 1, suggesting market operators have not yet engaged in large-scale long accumulation.
  • Resistance above support zones is strong (R1 at 4888, R2 at 4640), while the nearby support at 4060 is relatively close, opening downside space.
  • Volatility remains low (volatility 0.0128), and ADX is below 20, indicating weakening short-term momentum; the downtrend is likely to continue to the next support level.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on the analysis of 400 four-hour K-line charts, the current ETHUSDT price has retreated from a high level, with the Bollinger Bands clearly opening downward, and the price approaching or slightly breaking the lower band, indicating a short-term bearish dominance. Both MACD and RSI suggest an extreme bearish outlook; the RSI across multiple periods has entered oversold territory, yet no obvious rebound signs are observed, and KDJ remains subdued, reflecting that the bearish trend has not yet ended. Trading volume levels remain stable, but the active buy-sell ratio is below 1, which indicates that although there is support from buyers during the decline, selling pressure remains dominant. Funding rate is slightly positive, with no significant increase in long positions, as major long account holdings are predominant but have not stabilized the price, posing a potential 'trap' for upside speculation. Overall trend assessment indicates that the support at S1 (4060) is the target zone for the current decline, while resistance at 4320, formed by the Bollinger middle band and MA20, acts as a suppression zone. Price fluctuations are likely to remain within this range. Operational advice: proceed with caution when shorting on rallies, strictly set stop-loss orders, avoid chasing shorts at high levels with a target around 4060; during rebounds without volume, it is not advisable to accumulate longs, and one can wait to see if oversold indicators will trigger further rebound signals.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(21.0825) rsi12(23.9865) rsi14(31.7024)
  • MACD:dif(-49.6342) dea(-22.7421) macd(-53.7842)
  • MA:ma5(4404.43) ma10(4404.43) ma20(4516.54)
  • Boll:up(4704.25) mid(4516.54) down(4328.83)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6206721.619 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.28%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.2041
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 29, 2025 14:47

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3045

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.