Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT current decline has broken below the MA5, MA10, and MA20 levels, and continues to approach the lower Bollinger Band (4351.01). The moving averages 5/10/20/50 are in a bearish alignment, indicating a short-term trend breakdown. The MACD DIF and DEA are in the negative territory and at high levels, indicating strong short-term bearish momentum. No divergence or rebound signals have appeared at the bottom yet; the bears remain dominant. The KDJ indicator shows severe overselling across the three lines, with J value hitting new lows; the downtrend has not stopped. The RSI across multiple periods is synchronously low, showing weak rebound strength, and overall selling pressure is very strong. Large holders’ positions and account ratios are continuously hitting new highs, reflecting a crowded bullish market. The current negative funding rate increases the cost for long positions, and active suppression by major players could trigger a waterfall decline and a long squeeze. The active buy-sell ratio in the market is below 1, with increased volume during declines, indicating capital fleeing the market and a prevailing wait-and-see sentiment. If the bears do not consolidate in the next four hours, the price is expected to test the S1 support at 4060. However, the short-term focus is on the previous low zone of 4270-4350 to seek a bottom through oscillation. It is recommended to stay short-term out of the market and observe; any rebounds should be viewed as weak rebounds, with profit-taking on strength. Long positions should only be reestablished after confirming stabilization above MA20 and the middle Bollinger Band. Risk warning: In case of extreme liquidation or stop-loss cascades, the price may further test S1 support levels (around 4250–4270). Proper stop-loss measures should be set; it is not advisable to blindly bottom fish in the short term.