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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 29, 2025 10:19
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4200-4340

Mark Price

4345.79

Actual Price

4295.55

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price has already broken below the middle Bollinger Band and is close to the lower band; percent_b is negative, indicating weakness.
  • RSI6 is at 18.57, RSI14 at 32.62, both in the obvious oversold zone. Although a rebound is expected later, the probability of continued weakness in the short cycle remains high.
  • MACD is negative, with both DIF and DEA trending downward; the MACD histogram is enlarging, indicating increasing bearish momentum.
  • KDJ indicators show K, D, J values all at very low levels, with J being negative, reflecting extreme weakness.
  • Moving averages MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 are exhibiting death crosses, with short-term moving averages significantly downward.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is 0.8545, indicating weak buying momentum; however, the large traders' long-short holding ratio is 3.44, suggesting that the main force has not yet withdrawn. Short-term rebounds may occur, but the overall bias remains bearish.
  • DMI- is above DMI+, and the ADX is relatively low. Although the trend strength is not high, bearish dominance prevails.
  • ATR volatility is rising, indicating increased short-term oscillations with a downward bias.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a strong correction phase, with the price approaching the lower Bollinger Band, and the short-term moving average system displaying a fully bearish alignment. The MACD negative value is expanding, coupled with RSI entering oversold extreme conditions. Currently, the bearish momentum dominates, though a rebound may still occur before further decline. Bullish sentiment remains supported at the institutional level, but trading volume shows no abnormal activity, and active buy orders are insufficient. Under the control of the main players, the price remains under pressure. Short-term support levels to watch are S1 at 4060. If the price fails to stabilize above the 4340 region, it is highly likely to test further down to 4200 or even the 4060 level. The current volatility has increased, with ATR and other volatility indicators suggesting expansion of short-term fluctuations. Without a volume-backed reversal or critical indicator recovery, rebounds should be viewed as interim pauses within a downtrend. Short-term trend traders are advised to remain cautious or follow the trend by shorting. Aggressive traders may attempt to short in stages after the 4340 level is broken, with stop-losses set above the middle Bollinger Band at 4520. The market is in a state of extreme weakness. If support at 4200 or 4060 can stabilize, short-term rebound signals may be considered. However, until the primary downtrend shows clear signs of reversal, it is advisable not to establish long positions. Positions and stop-loss mechanisms should be strictly controlled.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(18.5656) rsi12(30.9584) rsi14(32.6222)
  • MACD:dif(-38.0859) dea(-15.9974) macd(-44.1771)
  • MA:ma5(4431.53) ma10(4431.53) ma20(4522.86)
  • Boll:up(4688.32) mid(4522.86) down(4357.41)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5052593.916 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.27%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8952
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 29, 2025 10:19

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3041

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.