Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Comprehensive analysis indicates that ETHUSDT is currently in a clear correction phase. The Bollinger Bands show the price breaking below the mid-line and approaching the lower band, with the percent_b at -0.083905, indicating a weak zone. The price is operating within a weak channel and is susceptible to seller pressure. The MACD indicator shows dif and dea remaining persistently negative, with the recent MACD histogram bars continuing to expand, suggesting the current downward trend has not yet shown signs of exhaustion. The RSI6 of 17.51 and RSI14 of 31.61 are both well below the conventional oversold threshold of 50, implying potential rebound expectations are weak and inertia in the downtrend remains strong. All KDJ indicators are at low levels, with the J line being negative, indicating short-term market sentiment is cooling, and no reversal signals have emerged; the DMI shows bearish volume dominance, with the ADX at 15.47 and no strong trend but overall turning bearish. Support and resistance levels: S1 at 4060. The current price is near the S1 support, but capital flow and sentiment have not yet shown a significant reversal. Trading volume has not recently seen a notable increase, indicating the downward process has not caused panic selling, but there is also no sign of substantial accumulation. The moving average system shows MA5 has broken below several key moving averages, with bearish volume dominating short-term momentum. Although the proportion of large account holdings in long and short positions as well as account counts are relatively high, considering the overall active buy-sell ratio and market sentiment, short-term bullish confidence is evidently insufficient, leaning towards passive holding. Funding rates are low, and no significant sniper trend has appeared. Overall, it is forecasted that the price will enter a downward correction zone in the next four hours, potentially finding phased support between 4170 and 4320. If the price falls below 4170, caution should be exercised for a drop below 4060. Recommendation: Maintain a neutral or light short position, with a stop loss set around the breach of the lower Bollinger band (approximately 4150). If the price dips to 4150-4170, closely monitor for signs of stabilization or reversal. Consider incremental long positions if there is a sharp change in volume or reversal signals emerge.