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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 29, 2025 07:20
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4270-4370

Mark Price

4393.6

Actual Price

4345.94

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price of 4393.60 is very close to the lower Bollinger Band at 4373.84; the Bollinger %b is 0.064865, indicating the price is in the severely oversold lower band zone, with a short-term oversell condition but insufficient rebound momentum.
  • MACD indicators show DIF and DEA both negative; the MACD histogram value is -31.90, signifying strong bearish momentum without obvious bullish divergence signals.
  • RSI averages are low, with RSI6 at only 21.01 and the 14-period RSI at 35.13; oversold but without signs of reversal, leaving space for further short-term downside.
  • J values in KDJ have fallen to 2.28; K and D are both in very low zones, suggesting some rebound possibility but no sign of stabilization yet.
  • Though large traders' long/short positions or account ratios are significantly skewed toward bulls (3.4854/2.1182), active buy-sell ratios have been persistently low at 0.9441, indicating actual buying power is weak.
  • The ADX is only 14.25, indicating very weak trend strength; combined with DMI- (bearish) exceeding DMI+ (bullish), the overall picture is dominated by bears but shows no clear trend, making the price susceptible to downward testing.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in a clear weak trend; the 4-hour candlestick chart shows continuous decline without reversal signals from the MACD or moving average system. The lower Bollinger Band is being tested repeatedly; the price is temporarily oversold, but momentum lacks sufficient rebound, and the overall market lacks active buying pressure. Although trading volume remains active (24-hour trading volume exceeding 20 billion), the chart indicates insufficient upward driving force. During the decline, volume spike rebounds are weak, implying further digestion of lower support levels is needed. Currently, the MA5, MA10, and MA20 moving averages have been broken, with no rapid recovery momentum; breaking below the lower Bollinger Band suggests potential for a new downward wave. Indicators such as KDJ and RSI mostly show oversold conditions, but with no accompanying volume increases or bullish divergence, indicating the short-term stabilization is not yet confirmed. Caution is advised for risk of further lows brought on by inertial selling. Support level S1 is at 4060, with the immediate downside target range between 4270-4370. This area is the primary support zone. While the large trader long-short ratio appears highly skewed toward bullishness, combined with active buy-sell ratios below 1 and extremely low funding rates, the market rebound momentum remains limited. There exists a short-term risk of ‘big traders controlling the market while retail investors await,’ leading to potential further downside through passive sell-offs. Overall, a small rebound after low-range consolidation cannot be ruled out, but in the short cycle, the 4-hour timeframe still shows a high probability of continuing the downward momentum. It is recommended to wait and see or take a light short position in line with the trend. The effective support zone is between 4270-4370; if it breaks below, watch the S1 level at 4060. If trading volume continues to decline, the weak market outlook will persist.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(21.0126) rsi12(36.0755) rsi14(35.1382)
  • MACD:dif(-26.1938) dea(-10.2424) macd(-31.9028)
  • MA:ma5(4465.7) ma10(4465.7) ma20(4526.33)
  • Boll:up(4678.82) mid(4526.33) down(4373.84)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4592014.545 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.24%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.9206
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 29, 2025 07:20

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3036

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.