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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 28, 2025 22:00
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4350-4450

Mark Price

4485.22

Actual Price

4454.98

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price at 4485.22 is below the middle Bollinger Band at 4520.72, with the percent_b of Bollinger Bands at 0.39, indicating it is in the lower half, suggesting a short-term weak bias.
  • MACD (dif: -15.70, dea: -4.04, macd: -23.33) values are negative and widening, implying increasing bearish momentum.
  • RSI readings: RSI6 at 46.7, RSI12 at 39.7, RSI14 at 47.5, RSI24 at 38.0, mostly in the mid-low range, indicating short-term weakness.
  • KDJ indicator's three lines are all in low territory, especially the J value at 4.37, with inherent risk of further decline in the short term.
  • Lower Bollinger Band at 4357.86 serves as a short-term support; market volatility and amplitude are subdued (ATR: 98.8; volatility: 0.0119), reflecting a subdued market environment.
  • Active buy/sell ratio and account ratio (ratio: 0.9120; accounts: 1.7685) favor buying, but trading volume has shrunk. Although the posture of large accounts' long and short positions is relatively bullish (ratio: 3.47), bearish forces have yet to effectively push prices higher.
  • Clear support and resistance levels are indicated: strong resistance at R1 (4794), support at S1 (4060). However, once the price breaks below the middle Bollinger Band, further moves to the lower zone are likely.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has fallen back from recent highs, currently trading within the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, approximately $130 below the lower band. The short-term trend is relatively weak, with bullish and bearish forces in contention but bears holding the advantage, making the price prone to seeking support downward. The MACD indicator's negative value has expanded, indicating increased selling momentum. RSI series and KDJ are both in weak zones. Bullish volume diminishes, and there is a lack of strong rebound signals. Coupled with decreasing ATR and volatility, this suggests a high probability of consolidation after a short-term decline. Although active and large account traders' bullish data is relatively strong, fund flow and transaction volume remain subdued, and the price has failed to break through the middle band and MA10/MA50 regions, demonstrating a lack of buying support. At this stage, the probability of further decline is higher. Support levels to watch are the lower Bollinger Band at 4357 and previous low support areas. A break below these could test the S1 level around 4060. Short-term resistance is at the middle band (approximately 4520) and MA10/MA50. If a quick rebound occurs, attention should be paid to whether these levels can contain the upward pressure. Overall suggestion: Short-term, consider following bearish momentum with targeted entries. The primary target zone is between 4350 and 4450. If volume increases or indicators reach extreme oversold conditions, consideration can be given to short-term long positions for a rebound, with a stop-loss set above 4530. Emphasize capital management and discipline; exercise caution with high leverage investments.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(46.7041) rsi12(39.7007) rsi14(47.5522)
  • MACD:dif(-15.6997) dea(-4.0365) macd(-23.3265)
  • MA:ma5(4522.19) ma10(4522.19) ma20(4520.72)
  • Boll:up(4683.59) mid(4520.72) down(4357.86)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4645621.346 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.19%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.7685
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 28, 2025 22:00

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd3017

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.