Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
4200-4350
Mark Price
4398.66
Actual Price
4427.46
Prediction Result
The lower Bollinger Band at 4409 has been approached or even briefly broken through by the price, indicating extreme market pressure in the short term and a lack of sufficient basis for a technical rebound. RSI and KDJ indicators are at extremely low levels, showing a waterfall decline pattern; even weak rebounds are unlikely to reverse the main trend. Short-term self-rescue rebounds are difficult, and the downward momentum may continue within the next 4 hours. The MACD bearish histogram is expanding, with DIF and DEA showing persistent divergence and the fast line not yet turning upward, reflecting that the short-selling sentiment remains strong and not significantly easing. Although large traders’ long-short positions are significantly skewed towards long positions, during rapid market declines, passive deleveraging or stop-loss tripping is likely to occur, further exacerbating downward volatility. Trading volume has continued to increase during the decline phase (see enlarged 4-hour volume), and active trading during panic enhances the bearish atmosphere, indicating that the source of sell-off continues to be substantial. In summary, ETHUSDT shows pronounced short-term weakness, making it highly likely to continue moving below the lower Bollinger Band, with a target range of 4200–4350. If it temporarily stabilizes at 4350, a ranging bottom may form; otherwise, it will directly test the support zone at 4150–4200. Stop-loss is recommended above 4380. If a short-term rebound fails to break this level, the overall trend remains bearish. Traders holding shorts should manage position sizes carefully, watch out for extreme counter-trend moves within the consolidation phase, and avoid heavy leverage on short positions.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 26, 2025 03:51
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd2957
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.