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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 26, 2025 03:51
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4200-4350

Mark Price

4398.66

Actual Price

4427.46

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Price has broken below the middle Bollinger Band and approached the lower band. The Bollinger %B is -0.017609, indicating short-term weakness and the potential for further decline.
  • RSI indicators across multiple periods are extremely oversold (e.g., RSI6 at 11.0175, RSI14 at 22.1786), signifying significant short-term overselling pressure with no sign of an imminent rebound.
  • The MACD has formed a dead cross with the histogram further expanding; DIF at -4.3313 and MACD at -114.8203, with sustained divergence, indicate a strong bearish momentum.
  • The KDJ lines are at extremely low levels (J at only 0.881), with evident short-term inertial decline; no oversold reversal signals are present yet.
  • The amplitude (volatility) is -7.396, reflecting a strong downward energy release.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is 0.9674, slightly favoring selling pressure; large traders’ positions are biased towards longs (3.7222), but the continuous decline in price suggests major market players’ inability to control the short-term rhythm.
  • ATR and DMI indicators show that short-term volatility remains high, with potential to seek support at S1 (4152.57).
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The lower Bollinger Band at 4409 has been approached or even briefly broken through by the price, indicating extreme market pressure in the short term and a lack of sufficient basis for a technical rebound. RSI and KDJ indicators are at extremely low levels, showing a waterfall decline pattern; even weak rebounds are unlikely to reverse the main trend. Short-term self-rescue rebounds are difficult, and the downward momentum may continue within the next 4 hours. The MACD bearish histogram is expanding, with DIF and DEA showing persistent divergence and the fast line not yet turning upward, reflecting that the short-selling sentiment remains strong and not significantly easing. Although large traders’ long-short positions are significantly skewed towards long positions, during rapid market declines, passive deleveraging or stop-loss tripping is likely to occur, further exacerbating downward volatility. Trading volume has continued to increase during the decline phase (see enlarged 4-hour volume), and active trading during panic enhances the bearish atmosphere, indicating that the source of sell-off continues to be substantial. In summary, ETHUSDT shows pronounced short-term weakness, making it highly likely to continue moving below the lower Bollinger Band, with a target range of 4200–4350. If it temporarily stabilizes at 4350, a ranging bottom may form; otherwise, it will directly test the support zone at 4150–4200. Stop-loss is recommended above 4380. If a short-term rebound fails to break this level, the overall trend remains bearish. Traders holding shorts should manage position sizes carefully, watch out for extreme counter-trend moves within the consolidation phase, and avoid heavy leverage on short positions.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(11.0175) rsi12(18.2281) rsi14(22.1786)
  • MACD:dif(-4.3313) dea(53.0789) macd(-114.8203)
  • MA:ma5(4480.18) ma10(4480.18) ma20(4680.88)
  • Boll:up(4952.61) mid(4680.88) down(4409.16)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:9416757.351 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.39%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8539
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 26, 2025 03:51

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd2957

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.