Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

The current ETHUSDT price has sharply declined, breaking below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating an extreme short-term oversold condition. However, current indicators such as RSI and KDJ continue to decline, showing that bearish momentum has not yet eased, and the bottom has not stabilized. From the perspectives of MACD and MA moving averages, a single large 4-hour bearish candlestick has caused the short-term moving averages to drop significantly, breaking the bullish alignment, and the market has shifted to a bearish dominance. The MACD exhibits a substantial volume increase and a death cross, indicating that the downtrend is likely to persist in the short term. Although the large holder long-short position ratio shows a bullish advantage (e.g., 3.7222), the current market trading volume has surged significantly, and the sharp drop with rebound strength is relatively weak. Active funds are opting to take profits or exit and wait, making it difficult to sustain rapid upward movements in the short term. The 24-hour trading volume and amplitude have reached extreme levels (-7.937 amplitude), with highly emotional selling pressure. Support levels need to be monitored to see if they can effectively respond near S1. In the short term, attention should be given to the support level at 4150 (around S1). If signs of stabilization appear, further wide-range oscillations could be considered. However, the current situation still prioritizes risk prevention; a watch-and-wait approach or aggressive traders may consider small positions to short on dips. The 4-hour ATR has reached 112, indicating a significant increase in volatility. After a rapid decline, a technical rebound could occur at any time in the short term, though the overall structure has not shifted from its weakness. A stop-loss can be set at S2 (around 3505), with target zones between 4150 and 4300. Trading suggestion: Do not blindly buy the dip. Focus on short positions; patiently wait for the extreme panic to subside, and monitor if price stabilizes within the 4150-4300 range. If the price breaks below S1, be cautious of a further decline towards around 3500.