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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 21, 2025 03:25
4h
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

4200-4450

Mark Price

4307.23

Actual Price

4291.74

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Bands percent_b is 0.62418, with the price located between the middle and upper bands, showing no signs of breaking through.
  • The MACD value is 39.2309, with both DIF and DEA negative and converging, indicating a short-term rebound with limited momentum.
  • The RSI6 is as high as 84.69, indicating short-term overbought pressure; RSI14 and RSI24 are both below 50, increasing the risk of a short-term decline.
  • KDJ J-value is at an extreme high, suggesting a potential correction after overbought conditions.
  • The number of long-short accounts and the positions of large traders dominate bullish sentiment; the active buy-sell ratio is 0.9612, but buying does not have absolute dominance.
  • MA5 is above MA10 and MA20, indicating a short-term bullish trend; however, support exists below, and MA50 is above current price, indicating significant resistance.
  • Moderate volatility and ATR readings, high 24-hour trading volume show active multi-directional trading, but no extreme trend has been established.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has recently rebounded strongly to around 4307, with the 4-hour K-line indicating a oscillating upward trend, but facing resistance at the upper-mid Bollinger Band. Although the MACD shows increasing red bars, both DIF and DEA are negative, indicating limited upward momentum and an increased likelihood of short-term reversal. The RSI6 is at an extreme high level, suggesting significant short-term profit-taking pressure, while the medium-term RSI has not yet shown a consistent upward trend. The KDJ J-value is elevated, which often accompanies short-term corrections. From the exchange's long-short ratio perspective, large bullish traders have clear control, but the market’s active buying and selling forces do not exhibit overwhelming dominance, indicating a weakening in the willingness to chase higher. The dominance of big traders’ bullish positions reflects expectations for the future, but short-term trading is more influenced by sentiment changes. The moving average system shows MA5 > MA10 > MA20; however, the price is approaching the resistance at the MA50. If volume cannot be increased to break through in the short term, there may be a need for a retracement to confirm support. The main support zones are at 4200-4260, with upward resistance at 4440-4450. The volatility and ATR are both at moderate levels, indicating intense market tug-of-war, but a clear directional continuation has not been established, and there is no sign of extreme acceleration in the overall trend. In the next 4 hours, the price is expected to fluctuate between 4200 and 4450. It is advisable to adopt a wait-and-see approach, delaying position building until a clear directional breakout occurs. It is safer to implement high-short and low-long strategies; if the price drops below 4200, caution is warranted for further correction, though there is no extreme downside risk before attacking the S1 support at 3542.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(84.6966) rsi12(57.1188) rsi14(46.9915)
  • MACD:dif(-36.6943) dea(-56.3098) macd(39.2309)
  • MA:ma5(4286.6) ma10(4286.6) ma20(4262.2)
  • Boll:up(4443.52) mid(4262.2) down(4080.87)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7306376.639 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.49%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.5374
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 21, 2025 03:25

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd2863

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.