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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 20, 2025 05:36
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4020-4100

Mark Price

4160.86

Actual Price

4219.8

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.224147, with the price near the lower band and the lower Bollinger Band moving downward, indicating short-term pressure.
  • MACD indicators are negative with expansion (dif -83.68, dea -65.38, macd -36.60), reflecting strong bearish momentum.
  • All RSI indicators are below 50, especially RSI14 at 31.98, showing oversold but not yet extreme, with dominance by the bears.
  • KDJ is oversold without a clear turning point; although J value shows slight rebound, it remains in low territory, making sustained rebound doubtful.
  • MA5 and MA10 are significantly below MA20 and MA50, with short-term moving averages in a bearish order, exerting downward pressure.
  • DMI indicators show -DI clearly above +DI, and ADX is above 25, confirming the current downtrend is effective.
  • Large trader holdings show a bullish bias; however, the price movement contradicts fund flow inclination, posing a risk of induced buying.
  • Volatility is negative; recent active buy-sell ratios within exchanges favor a bullish bias but have not translated into a clear upward momentum.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has significantly retraced from its high point, currently showing consecutive bearish candles; Bollinger Bands are near the lower band, indicating a generally bearish trend. The MACD indicator has been expanding downward over several periods, suggesting sustained selling momentum with no reversal signals observed. Both RSI and KDJ are pointing to oversold conditions, providing a basis for a short-term technical rebound, but the downward trend remains dominant. Moving Averages are arranged in a bearish order, with MA5 and MA10 both below MA20 and MA50, showing a clear death cross pattern; short-term rebound potential is limited. ATR and ADX indicate high volatility and a clear trend of downturn. Although large traders hold a relatively bullish position, with long positions far exceeding short positions, the price does not follow the capital inflows upward, indicating insufficient upward momentum; this may be caused by main force capital shaking out traders or short-term induced buying. Trading volume remains high but has recently decreased, suggesting limited active buying after a decline and increased market caution. Strong support levels are seen between 4020 and 4100; if this zone is broken, further attention should be given to support at S1 (3465.97). No significant trend reversal has been observed recently, so a bearish outlook is maintained; if technical stabilization signals appear in the short term, strategy adjustments may be considered. Overall, it is advised to控制short-term bullish positions and wait for effective support levels before considering entry. Aggressive investors may attempt small-position testing within the 4020-4100 range; a breakout-stop-loss should be used.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(40.917) rsi12(42.6933) rsi14(31.9892)
  • MACD:dif(-83.6796) dea(-65.3818) macd(-36.5956)
  • MA:ma5(4141.08) ma10(4141.08) ma20(4313.51)
  • Boll:up(4590.2) mid(4313.51) down(4036.82)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7237741.270 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.62%
  • Long/Short Ratio:2.2489
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 20, 2025 05:36

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd2837

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.