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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 11, 2025 08:01
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bullish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4350-4420

Mark Price

4270.91

Actual Price

4176.92

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Current ETHUSDT price at 4270.91, situated at the 0.73 quantile of the Bollinger Band's upper edge, indicates a strong trend but not an extreme overbought condition.
  • Short-term moving averages MA5, MA10, and MA20 are arranged in bullish order, with MA5 closely aligned with the current price, demonstrating sufficient short-term momentum.
  • RSI6 reaches as high as 77.45, and both RSI14 and RSI24 are above 70, suggesting overbought status; however, the trend level has not yet shown top divergence.
  • MACD is at -12.87, with DIF slightly below DEA; after brief correction, it remains in a high zone without a confirmed death cross.
  • KDJ indicators are synchronously high, with K and D values still trending upward; J has retreated but has not formed a bearish cross.
  • Large capital long-short holdings ratio is approximately 2.9974, and the number ratio of large account long to short positions is 1.2124, indicating persistent bullish dominance by major funds.
  • DMI+ (32.11) significantly exceeds DMI- (9.62), and the ADX is high at 49.65, confirming a strong trending environment.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT is within a sustained upward channel, with historical candlestick charts indicating a dominance of bullish market conditions. The Bollinger Bands remain open, with prices trading near the upper band but still at higher levels, suggesting that the upward potential has not been fully exhausted. Both RSI and KDJ signals show overbought conditions but are expanding in tandem with the Bollinger Band channels, indicating a high probability of continued bullish trend. Although MACD exhibits slight bearish divergence at the top, no strong reversal signals have appeared, and the market remains in a strong zone. Large-volume holdings continue to favor long positions, with funding rates staying positive, reflecting strong entry intent from major players. Trading volume has revived, demonstrating that recent momentum is driven by a combination of follow-up trades and proactive capital inflows. Support and resistance data indicate that lower support levels are relatively distant (3353.51), with no obvious short-term resistance, implying limited downside correction pressure. Along with moderate upward movement indicated by amplitude and ATR (77.03), further attempts to test previous highs are plausible. It is expected that within the next four hours, ETHUSDT will first approach testing the upper Bollinger Band (around 4400+). Major forces are likely to challenge the short-term target of 4420. Trading advice is to hold at high levels or to accumulate gradually during retracements, cautioning against partial profit-taking by bulls. For retracement references, observe support zones around 4250 and 4200, with stop-loss levels potentially set below 4150 based on position size. Based on overall technical morphology and fund flow, ETHUSDT is currently in a strong upward trend with no clear reversal signals in the short term. Maintain strict position management, remain alert for extreme volatility or forceful market shakeouts. Until the bull trend is broken, continue with a high-position long strategy.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(77.4454) rsi12(62.8091) rsi14(74.235)
  • MACD:dif(123.0485) dea(129.4856) macd(-12.8742)
  • MA:ma5(4269.39) ma10(4269.39) ma20(4157.63)
  • Boll:up(4403.62) mid(4157.63) down(3911.64)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:4541238.829 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.01%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.9566
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 11, 2025 08:01

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd2455

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.