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Binance ETHUSDT 4h Trend Prediction

Aug 04, 2025 13:37
4h
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

3505-3635

Mark Price

3583.12

Actual Price

3685.51

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Bands percent_b is 0.798026, with the price near the upper band but not breaking through, indicating obvious resistance.
  • MACD is positive and showing signs of recovery, but dif and dea are both negative; momentum is turning bullish but not yet fully reversed.
  • RSI6 value is 96.05, indicating extreme overbought conditions; RSI14 is also at 58.99, showing significant short-term overbought risk.
  • All three lines of KDJ are in overbought territory, with J value reaching 106.5; short-term correction pressure exists.
  • MA5, MA10, and MA20 are relatively concentrated in the 3500-3550 range, with the price still distant from MA50 (3683.8); aggressive breakout momentum is insufficient.
  • Large institutional long positions and high long-to-short ratio suggest short-term capital bias toward bullishness, but active trading volume ratio <1 indicates active funds have not significantly driven the move.
  • ADX is at 36.49, indicating trend strength persists, but DMI- is higher than DMI+, implying the upward momentum is weakening after the rise.
  • Resistance at R2 3674.43 and Bollinger upper band 3635.41 are near the current price, forming resistance pressure; support zone is around 3505.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently in the high zone near the upper Bollinger Band, with short-term capital flow and candlestick structure favoring bullishness, but technical indicators are already significantly overbought, indicating strong short-term correction pressure. MACD has not fully transitioned to a bullish mode, still recovering from negative territory; RSI is severely overbought, increasing the likelihood of downward correction in the coming hours. Market structure: large institutional traders are holding strong long positions, but market buying willingness is not very aggressive; the ratio of long to short accounts and large institutional holdings is somewhat skewed toward the long side, yet retail trader sentiment remains cautious, guarding against a possible pullback after a spike. Trading volume remains active, but no explosion volume has appeared at the top; volatility (ATR 65.97) indicates limited oscillation space at high levels. In terms of support and resistance: short-term support is at 3505, with resistance levels at 3635-3674; the current price is near the resistance band, with limited probability of a breakout. The price is likely to remain in a high-range wide oscillation pattern; short-term upward momentum is insufficient; after testing the 3505 support with a correction, there may be repeated oscillations. Operational suggestion: Wait for a clear direction; aggressive traders might consider long positions at 3505-3520; or reduce holdings gradually when approaching 3630-3670 and attempt short positions with strict stop-loss settings.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(96.0512) rsi12(70.6322) rsi14(58.9911)
  • MACD:dif(-36.8236) dea(-59.2188) macd(44.7905)
  • MA:ma5(3547.6) ma10(3547.6) ma20(3506.51)
  • Boll:up(3635.41) mid(3506.51) down(3377.6)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:3460619.984 (24h)
  • Volatility:1.0%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8074
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 04, 2025 13:37

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-4h-forecast-2025-upd2157

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.